Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 14 project a maximum of 14°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and a slight chance of an evening shower, positioning 14°C as the market leader at 58.5% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-August climatology for the region, where long-term daily highs average 12–15°C amid cool southerly influences and variable cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with 13°C and 15°C capturing residual uncertainty from minor model differences in cloud thickness and wind direction. Updated official briefings and afternoon model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the key data points traders are monitoring for any shifts in resolution odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 14?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 14?
14°C 59%
13°C 25%
15°C 13%
16°C 4%
NEW
$11,275 Vol.
NEW
$11,275 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
25%
14°C
59%
15°C
13%
16°C
4%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 59%
13°C 25%
15°C 13%
16°C 4%
NEW
$11,275 Vol.
NEW
$11,275 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
8°C or below
$333 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$526 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$604 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$302 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,210 Vol.
3%
13°C
$2,302 Vol.
25%
14°C
$2,326 Vol.
59%
15°C
$1,446 Vol.
13%
16°C
$1,117 Vol.
4%
17°C
$648 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$461 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 14 project a maximum of 14°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and a slight chance of an evening shower, positioning 14°C as the market leader at 58.5% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-August climatology for the region, where long-term daily highs average 12–15°C amid cool southerly influences and variable cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with 13°C and 15°C capturing residual uncertainty from minor model differences in cloud thickness and wind direction. Updated official briefings and afternoon model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the key data points traders are monitoring for any shifts in resolution odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$11,275End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 14 project a maximum of 14°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and a slight chance of an evening shower, positioning 14°C as the market leader at 58.5% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-August climatology for the region, where long-term daily highs average 12–15°C amid cool southerly influences and variable cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with 13°C and 15°C capturing residual uncertainty from minor model differences in cloud thickness and wind direction. Updated official briefings and afternoon model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the key data points traders are monitoring for any shifts in resolution odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,275End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService forecasts for Wellington on August 14 project a maximum of 14°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and a slight chance of an evening shower, positioning 14°C as the market leader at 58.5% implied probability. This reflects typical mid-August climatology for the region, where long-term daily highs average 12–15°C amid cool southerly influences and variable cloud cover. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with 13°C and 15°C capturing residual uncertainty from minor model differences in cloud thickness and wind direction. Updated official briefings and afternoon model runs over the next 24 hours will provide the key data points traders are monitoring for any shifts in resolution odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions