Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models project a high of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 14 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity limiting further warming. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, rarely exceeding 36°C without strong high-pressure systems, support the market’s concentration on 35–36°C outcomes. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and modest instability that cap intensification, while urban heat-island effects and overnight lows near 27°C anchor daily maxima. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for 37°C+ readings against the high likelihood of convective cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 14?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 14?
36°C 47%
35°C 28%
37°C 20%
34°C 7%
NEW
$11,613 Vol.
NEW
$11,613 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
7%
35°C
28%
36°C
47%
37°C
20%
38°C or higher
2%
36°C 47%
35°C 28%
37°C 20%
34°C 7%
NEW
$11,613 Vol.
NEW
$11,613 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
28°C or below
$549 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$524 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$272 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,017 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,727 Vol.
2%
34°C
$712 Vol.
7%
35°C
$1,777 Vol.
28%
36°C
$1,630 Vol.
47%
37°C
$2,104 Vol.
20%
38°C or higher
$913 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models project a high of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 14 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity limiting further warming. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, rarely exceeding 36°C without strong high-pressure systems, support the market’s concentration on 35–36°C outcomes. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and modest instability that cap intensification, while urban heat-island effects and overnight lows near 27°C anchor daily maxima. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for 37°C+ readings against the high likelihood of convective cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$11,613End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models project a high of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 14 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity limiting further warming. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, rarely exceeding 36°C without strong high-pressure systems, support the market’s concentration on 35–36°C outcomes. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and modest instability that cap intensification, while urban heat-island effects and overnight lows near 27°C anchor daily maxima. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for 37°C+ readings against the high likelihood of convective cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,613End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and international models project a high of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 14 amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions, with afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity limiting further warming. Historical August averages near 32–34°C, rarely exceeding 36°C without strong high-pressure systems, support the market’s concentration on 35–36°C outcomes. Recent model runs show consistent steering patterns and modest instability that cap intensification, while urban heat-island effects and overnight lows near 27°C anchor daily maxima. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for 37°C+ readings against the high likelihood of convective cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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