Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project daytime highs of 35°C in Taipei for August 16, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Typical August climatology features highs of 32–34°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon thundershowers, but current patterns of partly cloudy skies and limited cloud cover could enhance daytime heating and push peaks higher if convection remains suppressed. Urban heat island effects amplify temperatures in the city center relative to surrounding areas, while steering patterns and any late-season monsoon influences introduce variability that keeps 34°C and 36°C probabilities nearly equal. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against historical August extremes near 36°C and the short two-day horizon before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 16?
35°C 36%
34°C 32%
36°C 32%
33°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
13%
34°C
32%
35°C
36%
36°C
32%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
3%
35°C 36%
34°C 32%
36°C 32%
33°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$32 Vol.
2%
32°C
$242 Vol.
11%
33°C
$0 Vol.
13%
34°C
$0 Vol.
32%
35°C
$2 Vol.
36%
36°C
$11 Vol.
32%
37°C
$0 Vol.
5%
38°C
$0 Vol.
4%
39°C or higher
$10 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project daytime highs of 35°C in Taipei for August 16, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Typical August climatology features highs of 32–34°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon thundershowers, but current patterns of partly cloudy skies and limited cloud cover could enhance daytime heating and push peaks higher if convection remains suppressed. Urban heat island effects amplify temperatures in the city center relative to surrounding areas, while steering patterns and any late-season monsoon influences introduce variability that keeps 34°C and 36°C probabilities nearly equal. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against historical August extremes near 36°C and the short two-day horizon before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$306End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project daytime highs of 35°C in Taipei for August 16, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Typical August climatology features highs of 32–34°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon thundershowers, but current patterns of partly cloudy skies and limited cloud cover could enhance daytime heating and push peaks higher if convection remains suppressed. Urban heat island effects amplify temperatures in the city center relative to surrounding areas, while steering patterns and any late-season monsoon influences introduce variability that keeps 34°C and 36°C probabilities nearly equal. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against historical August extremes near 36°C and the short two-day horizon before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$306End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project daytime highs of 35°C in Taipei for August 16, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Typical August climatology features highs of 32–34°C amid high humidity and frequent afternoon thundershowers, but current patterns of partly cloudy skies and limited cloud cover could enhance daytime heating and push peaks higher if convection remains suppressed. Urban heat island effects amplify temperatures in the city center relative to surrounding areas, while steering patterns and any late-season monsoon influences introduce variability that keeps 34°C and 36°C probabilities nearly equal. Traders weigh these model consensus signals against historical August extremes near 36°C and the short two-day horizon before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions