**Trader consensus for a 31°C peak in Seoul-Incheon on August 14 centers on moderating heatwave conditions amid mostly cloudy skies and high humidity.** Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 34°C with overnight lows around 25°C, yet coastal Incheon’s marine influence and easterly flow have kept observed peaks tracking 1–3°C below inland Seoul projections. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating under persistent cloud cover and light winds that suppress both radiative warming and sea-breeze enhancement. Historical August baselines for the region average 30–32°C, and the ongoing subsidence of early-August extremes (records near 42.5°C) supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 30–31°C outcomes. Updated KMA guidance and real-time station data through midday will be the primary near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
31°C 67%
30°C 27%
32°C 8%
33°C 2%
NEW
$47,672 Vol.
NEW
$47,672 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
27%
31°C
67%
32°C
8%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 67%
30°C 27%
32°C 8%
33°C 2%
NEW
$47,672 Vol.
NEW
$47,672 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,024 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7,057 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5,241 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$11,421 Vol.
27%
31°C
$7,138 Vol.
67%
32°C
$7,129 Vol.
8%
33°C
$5,326 Vol.
2%
34°C
$2,360 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,521 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$798 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for a 31°C peak in Seoul-Incheon on August 14 centers on moderating heatwave conditions amid mostly cloudy skies and high humidity.** Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 34°C with overnight lows around 25°C, yet coastal Incheon’s marine influence and easterly flow have kept observed peaks tracking 1–3°C below inland Seoul projections. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating under persistent cloud cover and light winds that suppress both radiative warming and sea-breeze enhancement. Historical August baselines for the region average 30–32°C, and the ongoing subsidence of early-August extremes (records near 42.5°C) supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 30–31°C outcomes. Updated KMA guidance and real-time station data through midday will be the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$47,672End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus for a 31°C peak in Seoul-Incheon on August 14 centers on moderating heatwave conditions amid mostly cloudy skies and high humidity.** Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 34°C with overnight lows around 25°C, yet coastal Incheon’s marine influence and easterly flow have kept observed peaks tracking 1–3°C below inland Seoul projections. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating under persistent cloud cover and light winds that suppress both radiative warming and sea-breeze enhancement. Historical August baselines for the region average 30–32°C, and the ongoing subsidence of early-August extremes (records near 42.5°C) supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 30–31°C outcomes. Updated KMA guidance and real-time station data through midday will be the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,672End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for a 31°C peak in Seoul-Incheon on August 14 centers on moderating heatwave conditions amid mostly cloudy skies and high humidity.** Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts indicate a daily maximum near 34°C with overnight lows around 25°C, yet coastal Incheon’s marine influence and easterly flow have kept observed peaks tracking 1–3°C below inland Seoul projections. Recent model runs show limited diurnal heating under persistent cloud cover and light winds that suppress both radiative warming and sea-breeze enhancement. Historical August baselines for the region average 30–32°C, and the ongoing subsidence of early-August extremes (records near 42.5°C) supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 30–31°C outcomes. Updated KMA guidance and real-time station data through midday will be the primary near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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