National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently project a Dallas high near 101–102°F on August 15 under sunny skies and moderate southerly flow driven by persistent high pressure. This consensus underpins the leading 42% implied probability on 100–101°F, with secondary support for 98–99°F at 24.5% reflecting minor cooling possibilities from boundary-layer moisture or timing shifts. August climatology shows typical Dallas maxima in the mid-90s to low 100s, while the ongoing regional heat wave supports limited upside risk into the 102–103°F bin. No major model divergence has emerged in the latest runs, though final NWS verification data will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 15?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 15?
100-101°F 42%
98-99°F 25%
102-103°F 14%
104-105°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
25%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
10%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 42%
98-99°F 25%
102-103°F 14%
104-105°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
93°F or below
$0 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$124 Vol.
6%
96-97°F
$167 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$8 Vol.
25%
100-101°F
$2,893 Vol.
42%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
14%
104-105°F
$5 Vol.
10%
106-107°F
$15 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$30 Vol.
4%
110-111°F
$10 Vol.
1%
112°F or higher
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently project a Dallas high near 101–102°F on August 15 under sunny skies and moderate southerly flow driven by persistent high pressure. This consensus underpins the leading 42% implied probability on 100–101°F, with secondary support for 98–99°F at 24.5% reflecting minor cooling possibilities from boundary-layer moisture or timing shifts. August climatology shows typical Dallas maxima in the mid-90s to low 100s, while the ongoing regional heat wave supports limited upside risk into the 102–103°F bin. No major model divergence has emerged in the latest runs, though final NWS verification data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,362End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently project a Dallas high near 101–102°F on August 15 under sunny skies and moderate southerly flow driven by persistent high pressure. This consensus underpins the leading 42% implied probability on 100–101°F, with secondary support for 98–99°F at 24.5% reflecting minor cooling possibilities from boundary-layer moisture or timing shifts. August climatology shows typical Dallas maxima in the mid-90s to low 100s, while the ongoing regional heat wave supports limited upside risk into the 102–103°F bin. No major model divergence has emerged in the latest runs, though final NWS verification data will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,362End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models currently project a Dallas high near 101–102°F on August 15 under sunny skies and moderate southerly flow driven by persistent high pressure. This consensus underpins the leading 42% implied probability on 100–101°F, with secondary support for 98–99°F at 24.5% reflecting minor cooling possibilities from boundary-layer moisture or timing shifts. August climatology shows typical Dallas maxima in the mid-90s to low 100s, while the ongoing regional heat wave supports limited upside risk into the 102–103°F bin. No major model divergence has emerged in the latest runs, though final NWS verification data will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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