Persistent subtropical high pressure and typical August sea-breeze patterns are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across South Florida, supporting forecast minimums clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s for Miami International Airport on August 15. Subtle differences among the tightly grouped 78–83 °F outcomes hinge on expected cloud-cover persistence after daytime convection, boundary-layer wind speeds, and any late-day shower remnants that could modestly enhance or suppress cooling. National Weather Service model guidance and updated evening soundings will refine these variables ahead of the overnight period, while climatological normals near 78–80 °F provide the baseline against which traders are weighting the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 15?
80-81°F 31%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
14%
86°F or higher
6%
80-81°F 31%
82-83°F 31%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
67°F or below
$152 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$152 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$227 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$227 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
14%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
31%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
31%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
14%
86°F or higher
$115 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and typical August sea-breeze patterns are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across South Florida, supporting forecast minimums clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s for Miami International Airport on August 15. Subtle differences among the tightly grouped 78–83 °F outcomes hinge on expected cloud-cover persistence after daytime convection, boundary-layer wind speeds, and any late-day shower remnants that could modestly enhance or suppress cooling. National Weather Service model guidance and updated evening soundings will refine these variables ahead of the overnight period, while climatological normals near 78–80 °F provide the baseline against which traders are weighting the current consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$873End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and typical August sea-breeze patterns are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across South Florida, supporting forecast minimums clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s for Miami International Airport on August 15. Subtle differences among the tightly grouped 78–83 °F outcomes hinge on expected cloud-cover persistence after daytime convection, boundary-layer wind speeds, and any late-day shower remnants that could modestly enhance or suppress cooling. National Weather Service model guidance and updated evening soundings will refine these variables ahead of the overnight period, while climatological normals near 78–80 °F provide the baseline against which traders are weighting the current consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$873End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent subtropical high pressure and typical August sea-breeze patterns are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across South Florida, supporting forecast minimums clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s for Miami International Airport on August 15. Subtle differences among the tightly grouped 78–83 °F outcomes hinge on expected cloud-cover persistence after daytime convection, boundary-layer wind speeds, and any late-day shower remnants that could modestly enhance or suppress cooling. National Weather Service model guidance and updated evening soundings will refine these variables ahead of the overnight period, while climatological normals near 78–80 °F provide the baseline against which traders are weighting the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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