Current National Weather Service forecasts for Miami point to overnight lows in the low 80s on August 14 amid a persistent warm, humid air mass under high pressure, limiting radiative cooling. Light easterly or southeasterly winds, elevated dew points near 75°F, and variable overnight cloud cover or scattered showers differentiate the closely matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F outcomes by modulating heat retention. Recent days of heat advisories and above-average minima have reinforced trader focus on these bins, with model runs showing modest spread tied to sea-breeze timing and thunderstorm outflow. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will clarify the final minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 14?
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 36%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
36%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 36%
84-85°F 15%
78-79°F 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
71°F or below
$3 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$13 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$33 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$350 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$40 Vol.
14%
80-81°F
$31 Vol.
36%
82-83°F
$23 Vol.
37%
84-85°F
$26 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$342 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$15 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$201 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Miami point to overnight lows in the low 80s on August 14 amid a persistent warm, humid air mass under high pressure, limiting radiative cooling. Light easterly or southeasterly winds, elevated dew points near 75°F, and variable overnight cloud cover or scattered showers differentiate the closely matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F outcomes by modulating heat retention. Recent days of heat advisories and above-average minima have reinforced trader focus on these bins, with model runs showing modest spread tied to sea-breeze timing and thunderstorm outflow. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will clarify the final minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,074End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Miami point to overnight lows in the low 80s on August 14 amid a persistent warm, humid air mass under high pressure, limiting radiative cooling. Light easterly or southeasterly winds, elevated dew points near 75°F, and variable overnight cloud cover or scattered showers differentiate the closely matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F outcomes by modulating heat retention. Recent days of heat advisories and above-average minima have reinforced trader focus on these bins, with model runs showing modest spread tied to sea-breeze timing and thunderstorm outflow. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will clarify the final minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,074End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Miami point to overnight lows in the low 80s on August 14 amid a persistent warm, humid air mass under high pressure, limiting radiative cooling. Light easterly or southeasterly winds, elevated dew points near 75°F, and variable overnight cloud cover or scattered showers differentiate the closely matched 80–81°F and 82–83°F outcomes by modulating heat retention. Recent days of heat advisories and above-average minima have reinforced trader focus on these bins, with model runs showing modest spread tied to sea-breeze timing and thunderstorm outflow. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations will clarify the final minimum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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