Latest meteorological guidance for São Paulo on August 15 indicates a wintertime pattern dominated by variable cloud cover and weak high-pressure influence, supporting maximum temperatures clustered in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Model consensus from regional runs highlights modest diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, with any passing moisture or frontal remnants potentially suppressing peaks by 1–2°C or allowing brief clearing to push readings toward 25–26°C. Historical August climatology centers near 23–24°C, and the tight spread across 22–26°C market outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated INMET and global ensemble guidance expected overnight will clarify whether conditions trend slightly warmer or cooler than recent days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 15?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 15?
25°C 36%
26°C 22%
24°C 20%
27°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
20%
25°C
36%
26°C
22%
27°C
13%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
25°C 36%
26°C 22%
24°C 20%
27°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$25 Vol.
3%
22°C
$83 Vol.
3%
23°C
$12 Vol.
13%
24°C
$23 Vol.
20%
25°C
$104 Vol.
36%
26°C
$10 Vol.
22%
27°C
$23 Vol.
13%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$15 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological guidance for São Paulo on August 15 indicates a wintertime pattern dominated by variable cloud cover and weak high-pressure influence, supporting maximum temperatures clustered in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Model consensus from regional runs highlights modest diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, with any passing moisture or frontal remnants potentially suppressing peaks by 1–2°C or allowing brief clearing to push readings toward 25–26°C. Historical August climatology centers near 23–24°C, and the tight spread across 22–26°C market outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated INMET and global ensemble guidance expected overnight will clarify whether conditions trend slightly warmer or cooler than recent days.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$320End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological guidance for São Paulo on August 15 indicates a wintertime pattern dominated by variable cloud cover and weak high-pressure influence, supporting maximum temperatures clustered in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Model consensus from regional runs highlights modest diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, with any passing moisture or frontal remnants potentially suppressing peaks by 1–2°C or allowing brief clearing to push readings toward 25–26°C. Historical August climatology centers near 23–24°C, and the tight spread across 22–26°C market outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated INMET and global ensemble guidance expected overnight will clarify whether conditions trend slightly warmer or cooler than recent days.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$320End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological guidance for São Paulo on August 15 indicates a wintertime pattern dominated by variable cloud cover and weak high-pressure influence, supporting maximum temperatures clustered in the low-to-mid 20s Celsius. Model consensus from regional runs highlights modest diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, with any passing moisture or frontal remnants potentially suppressing peaks by 1–2°C or allowing brief clearing to push readings toward 25–26°C. Historical August climatology centers near 23–24°C, and the tight spread across 22–26°C market outcomes reflects ongoing uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing rather than major synoptic shifts. Updated INMET and global ensemble guidance expected overnight will clarify whether conditions trend slightly warmer or cooler than recent days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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