Current forecasts from European meteorological models, including consensus runs supporting highs near 33°C, position that outcome as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 34°C at 24.5%. Stable high-pressure systems over the North Sea region, combined with light winds and scattered cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, drive the expected peak under typical August climatology where Amsterdam averages around 22°C. Recent model updates through August 13 show minimal shifts, with limited uncertainty from potential boundary-layer moisture variations. Official KNMI observations on August 14 will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 14?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 14?
33°C 43%
34°C 27%
32°C 16%
35°C 10%
NEW
$15,845 Vol.
NEW
$15,845 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
16%
33°C
43%
34°C
27%
35°C
10%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43%
34°C 27%
32°C 16%
35°C 10%
NEW
$15,845 Vol.
NEW
$15,845 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
28°C or below
$2,288 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$957 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,941 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,855 Vol.
4%
32°C
$2,225 Vol.
16%
33°C
$2,939 Vol.
43%
34°C
$1,603 Vol.
27%
35°C
$771 Vol.
10%
36°C
$683 Vol.
1%
37°C
$282 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$301 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European meteorological models, including consensus runs supporting highs near 33°C, position that outcome as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 34°C at 24.5%. Stable high-pressure systems over the North Sea region, combined with light winds and scattered cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, drive the expected peak under typical August climatology where Amsterdam averages around 22°C. Recent model updates through August 13 show minimal shifts, with limited uncertainty from potential boundary-layer moisture variations. Official KNMI observations on August 14 will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$15,845End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from European meteorological models, including consensus runs supporting highs near 33°C, position that outcome as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 34°C at 24.5%. Stable high-pressure systems over the North Sea region, combined with light winds and scattered cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, drive the expected peak under typical August climatology where Amsterdam averages around 22°C. Recent model updates through August 13 show minimal shifts, with limited uncertainty from potential boundary-layer moisture variations. Official KNMI observations on August 14 will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,845End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from European meteorological models, including consensus runs supporting highs near 33°C, position that outcome as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 34°C at 24.5%. Stable high-pressure systems over the North Sea region, combined with light winds and scattered cloud cover allowing strong daytime solar heating, drive the expected peak under typical August climatology where Amsterdam averages around 22°C. Recent model updates through August 13 show minimal shifts, with limited uncertainty from potential boundary-layer moisture variations. Official KNMI observations on August 14 will resolve the market based on the daily maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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