Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures for August 15, keeping the daily high centered in the mid-70s. This setup, common in late summer, draws cooler, moist Pacific air inland and limits afternoon warming, with model consensus favoring peaks near 74–77°F amid light winds and gradual clearing. The close market split between 74–75°F (35.5%) and 76–77°F (29.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact marine layer depth and timing of any inland heating, while lower-probability outcomes above 78°F or below 72°F would require atypical clearing or stronger cooling. Traders weigh these variables against historical August baselines near 80–85°F when assessing resolution risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 15?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 15?
76-77°F 41%
74-75°F 36%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
5%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 41%
74-75°F 36%
78-79°F 13%
72-73°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
65°F or below
$210 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$25 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$25 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$66 Vol.
4%
72-73°F
$467 Vol.
10%
74-75°F
$122 Vol.
36%
76-77°F
$354 Vol.
41%
78-79°F
$96 Vol.
13%
80-81°F
$30 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$30 Vol.
5%
84°F or higher
$15 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures for August 15, keeping the daily high centered in the mid-70s. This setup, common in late summer, draws cooler, moist Pacific air inland and limits afternoon warming, with model consensus favoring peaks near 74–77°F amid light winds and gradual clearing. The close market split between 74–75°F (35.5%) and 76–77°F (29.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact marine layer depth and timing of any inland heating, while lower-probability outcomes above 78°F or below 72°F would require atypical clearing or stronger cooling. Traders weigh these variables against historical August baselines near 80–85°F when assessing resolution risks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$1,437End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures for August 15, keeping the daily high centered in the mid-70s. This setup, common in late summer, draws cooler, moist Pacific air inland and limits afternoon warming, with model consensus favoring peaks near 74–77°F amid light winds and gradual clearing. The close market split between 74–75°F (35.5%) and 76–77°F (29.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact marine layer depth and timing of any inland heating, while lower-probability outcomes above 78°F or below 72°F would require atypical clearing or stronger cooling. Traders weigh these variables against historical August baselines near 80–85°F when assessing resolution risks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,437End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal Los Angeles temperatures for August 15, keeping the daily high centered in the mid-70s. This setup, common in late summer, draws cooler, moist Pacific air inland and limits afternoon warming, with model consensus favoring peaks near 74–77°F amid light winds and gradual clearing. The close market split between 74–75°F (35.5%) and 76–77°F (29.5%) reflects uncertainty in exact marine layer depth and timing of any inland heating, while lower-probability outcomes above 78°F or below 72°F would require atypical clearing or stronger cooling. Traders weigh these variables against historical August baselines near 80–85°F when assessing resolution risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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