**Singapore's tropical equatorial climate produces consistent daytime maxima near 30–32°C in August, with the highest temperature typically set in the early afternoon under peak solar heating.** Recent National Environment Agency guidance issued July 31 highlighted drier conditions expected through the first half of August, which reduces cloud cover and supports daily maxima of 33–34°C on most days by limiting evaporative cooling and allowing greater surface heating. Official outlooks and extended forecasts for August 14 itself currently cluster around 31°C, reflecting the moderating influence of typical sea breezes and residual moisture. This places the market-implied probabilities for 32°C (57%) and 33°C (37.5%) in line with the balance between climatological norms and the drier, potentially warmer regime signaled for the period. Updated model runs or NEA briefings on the day itself remain the key variables that could shift the precise peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 14?
32°C 56%
33°C 38%
31°C 4%
34°C 3%
$18,569 Vol.
$18,569 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
56%
33°C
38%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
33°C 38%
31°C 4%
34°C 3%
$18,569 Vol.
$18,569 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
56%
33°C
38%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Singapore's tropical equatorial climate produces consistent daytime maxima near 30–32°C in August, with the highest temperature typically set in the early afternoon under peak solar heating.** Recent National Environment Agency guidance issued July 31 highlighted drier conditions expected through the first half of August, which reduces cloud cover and supports daily maxima of 33–34°C on most days by limiting evaporative cooling and allowing greater surface heating. Official outlooks and extended forecasts for August 14 itself currently cluster around 31°C, reflecting the moderating influence of typical sea breezes and residual moisture. This places the market-implied probabilities for 32°C (57%) and 33°C (37.5%) in line with the balance between climatological norms and the drier, potentially warmer regime signaled for the period. Updated model runs or NEA briefings on the day itself remain the key variables that could shift the precise peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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