Singapore's tropical climate typically produces August daily highs near 31–32°C, but a late-July official outlook for drier, fair conditions through mid-month has shifted recent model consensus toward peaks of 33–34°C on several days. With only 48 hours remaining before August 15, the tight 46 %–39.5 % split between the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes captures uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day showers that could cap the maximum. Historical August data show occasional excursions above 33 °C when subsidence suppresses convection, aligning with the low but non-zero probability attached to 34 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the latest regional guidance and intra-day variability more heavily than long-term climatology.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 15?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 15?
32°C 47%
33°C 38%
31°C 12%
34°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
47%
33°C
38%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 47%
33°C 38%
31°C 12%
34°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
28°C or below
$8 Vol.
1%
29°C
$61 Vol.
1%
30°C
$8 Vol.
3%
31°C
$16 Vol.
12%
32°C
$46 Vol.
47%
33°C
$361 Vol.
38%
34°C
$8 Vol.
9%
35°C
$66 Vol.
1%
36°C
$42 Vol.
1%
37°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$20 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's tropical climate typically produces August daily highs near 31–32°C, but a late-July official outlook for drier, fair conditions through mid-month has shifted recent model consensus toward peaks of 33–34°C on several days. With only 48 hours remaining before August 15, the tight 46 %–39.5 % split between the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes captures uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day showers that could cap the maximum. Historical August data show occasional excursions above 33 °C when subsidence suppresses convection, aligning with the low but non-zero probability attached to 34 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the latest regional guidance and intra-day variability more heavily than long-term climatology.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$657End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's tropical climate typically produces August daily highs near 31–32°C, but a late-July official outlook for drier, fair conditions through mid-month has shifted recent model consensus toward peaks of 33–34°C on several days. With only 48 hours remaining before August 15, the tight 46 %–39.5 % split between the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes captures uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day showers that could cap the maximum. Historical August data show occasional excursions above 33 °C when subsidence suppresses convection, aligning with the low but non-zero probability attached to 34 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the latest regional guidance and intra-day variability more heavily than long-term climatology.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$657End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's tropical climate typically produces August daily highs near 31–32°C, but a late-July official outlook for drier, fair conditions through mid-month has shifted recent model consensus toward peaks of 33–34°C on several days. With only 48 hours remaining before August 15, the tight 46 %–39.5 % split between the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes captures uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze timing, and any late-day showers that could cap the maximum. Historical August data show occasional excursions above 33 °C when subsidence suppresses convection, aligning with the low but non-zero probability attached to 34 °C. Traders are therefore weighting the latest regional guidance and intra-day variability more heavily than long-term climatology.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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