Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing's August 14 high will likely reach 30–32°C amid increasing cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and moderating humidity typical of late-summer conditions in northern China. These atmospheric patterns—driven by regional monsoon influences and a slight seasonal decline from July peaks—favor the market's leading outcomes around 32°C and 33°C by limiting daytime heating while preventing extreme readings above 34°C. Official monitoring from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows minimal model divergence on this short-range outlook, with precipitation expected to cap temperatures near historical averages of 30°C. Traders appear to weigh the low probability of clearer skies boosting highs versus storm timing that could further suppress them.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 14?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 14?
32°C 45%
33°C 26%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
NEW
$10,069 Vol.
NEW
$10,069 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
18%
32°C
45%
33°C
26%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 45%
33°C 26%
31°C 18%
34°C 10%
NEW
$10,069 Vol.
NEW
$10,069 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
25°C or below
$677 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,004 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$554 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$768 Vol.
1%
29°C
$749 Vol.
3%
30°C
$406 Vol.
5%
31°C
$592 Vol.
18%
32°C
$4,096 Vol.
45%
33°C
$259 Vol.
26%
34°C
$303 Vol.
10%
35°C or higher
$661 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing's August 14 high will likely reach 30–32°C amid increasing cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and moderating humidity typical of late-summer conditions in northern China. These atmospheric patterns—driven by regional monsoon influences and a slight seasonal decline from July peaks—favor the market's leading outcomes around 32°C and 33°C by limiting daytime heating while preventing extreme readings above 34°C. Official monitoring from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows minimal model divergence on this short-range outlook, with precipitation expected to cap temperatures near historical averages of 30°C. Traders appear to weigh the low probability of clearer skies boosting highs versus storm timing that could further suppress them.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$10,069End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing's August 14 high will likely reach 30–32°C amid increasing cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and moderating humidity typical of late-summer conditions in northern China. These atmospheric patterns—driven by regional monsoon influences and a slight seasonal decline from July peaks—favor the market's leading outcomes around 32°C and 33°C by limiting daytime heating while preventing extreme readings above 34°C. Official monitoring from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows minimal model divergence on this short-range outlook, with precipitation expected to cap temperatures near historical averages of 30°C. Traders appear to weigh the low probability of clearer skies boosting highs versus storm timing that could further suppress them.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,069End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather indicate Beijing's August 14 high will likely reach 30–32°C amid increasing cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and moderating humidity typical of late-summer conditions in northern China. These atmospheric patterns—driven by regional monsoon influences and a slight seasonal decline from July peaks—favor the market's leading outcomes around 32°C and 33°C by limiting daytime heating while preventing extreme readings above 34°C. Official monitoring from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows minimal model divergence on this short-range outlook, with precipitation expected to cap temperatures near historical averages of 30°C. Traders appear to weigh the low probability of clearer skies boosting highs versus storm timing that could further suppress them.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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