Forecast models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance point to typical mid-August monsoon conditions for Karachi, with daytime highs driven by high humidity, variable cloud cover from the southwest monsoon, and limited daytime heating. Recent updates show hot, humid weather persisting with possible scattered thundershowers that could cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below the long-term average of 31–33 °C. Historical records indicate rare spikes above 35 °C in mid-August, while current observational trends and ensemble forecasts suggest steady steering patterns without major heat-wave reinforcement. Traders monitor PMD daily bulletins and regional model runs for any shifts in rainfall timing or wind patterns ahead of the August 16 observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 16?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 16?
32°C 50%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
30°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
10%
31°C
24%
32°C
50%
33°C
23%
34°C
4%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
30°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$59 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
10%
31°C
$44 Vol.
24%
32°C
$32 Vol.
50%
33°C
$0 Vol.
23%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C
$10 Vol.
7%
36°C
$10 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance point to typical mid-August monsoon conditions for Karachi, with daytime highs driven by high humidity, variable cloud cover from the southwest monsoon, and limited daytime heating. Recent updates show hot, humid weather persisting with possible scattered thundershowers that could cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below the long-term average of 31–33 °C. Historical records indicate rare spikes above 35 °C in mid-August, while current observational trends and ensemble forecasts suggest steady steering patterns without major heat-wave reinforcement. Traders monitor PMD daily bulletins and regional model runs for any shifts in rainfall timing or wind patterns ahead of the August 16 observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$153End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance point to typical mid-August monsoon conditions for Karachi, with daytime highs driven by high humidity, variable cloud cover from the southwest monsoon, and limited daytime heating. Recent updates show hot, humid weather persisting with possible scattered thundershowers that could cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below the long-term average of 31–33 °C. Historical records indicate rare spikes above 35 °C in mid-August, while current observational trends and ensemble forecasts suggest steady steering patterns without major heat-wave reinforcement. Traders monitor PMD daily bulletins and regional model runs for any shifts in rainfall timing or wind patterns ahead of the August 16 observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$153End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance point to typical mid-August monsoon conditions for Karachi, with daytime highs driven by high humidity, variable cloud cover from the southwest monsoon, and limited daytime heating. Recent updates show hot, humid weather persisting with possible scattered thundershowers that could cap maximum temperatures near or slightly below the long-term average of 31–33 °C. Historical records indicate rare spikes above 35 °C in mid-August, while current observational trends and ensemble forecasts suggest steady steering patterns without major heat-wave reinforcement. Traders monitor PMD daily bulletins and regional model runs for any shifts in rainfall timing or wind patterns ahead of the August 16 observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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