Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate partly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms for Wuhan on August 16, supporting highs near 32–34 °C as the dominant range. A brief cool spell with widespread rain and lower maxima (26–29 °C) through August 15 has given way to clearing conditions, allowing greater solar heating under light northerly winds. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and humidity in the subtropical monsoon regime, where typical August peaks average 35 °C but daily outcomes hinge on timing of any convective activity. Traders appear to weigh these near-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture against historical analogs, producing closely matched probabilities across the 32–34 °C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 16?
33°C 35%
32°C 31%
34°C 27%
31°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
11%
31°C
11%
32°C
31%
33°C
35%
34°C
27%
35°C
11%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
6%
33°C 35%
32°C 31%
34°C 27%
31°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
11%
31°C
$0 Vol.
11%
32°C
$0 Vol.
31%
33°C
$14 Vol.
35%
34°C
$0 Vol.
27%
35°C
$17 Vol.
11%
36°C
$3 Vol.
4%
37°C or higher
$10 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate partly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms for Wuhan on August 16, supporting highs near 32–34 °C as the dominant range. A brief cool spell with widespread rain and lower maxima (26–29 °C) through August 15 has given way to clearing conditions, allowing greater solar heating under light northerly winds. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and humidity in the subtropical monsoon regime, where typical August peaks average 35 °C but daily outcomes hinge on timing of any convective activity. Traders appear to weigh these near-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture against historical analogs, producing closely matched probabilities across the 32–34 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$58End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate partly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms for Wuhan on August 16, supporting highs near 32–34 °C as the dominant range. A brief cool spell with widespread rain and lower maxima (26–29 °C) through August 15 has given way to clearing conditions, allowing greater solar heating under light northerly winds. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and humidity in the subtropical monsoon regime, where typical August peaks average 35 °C but daily outcomes hinge on timing of any convective activity. Traders appear to weigh these near-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture against historical analogs, producing closely matched probabilities across the 32–34 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$58End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate partly cloudy skies with isolated late thunderstorms for Wuhan on August 16, supporting highs near 32–34 °C as the dominant range. A brief cool spell with widespread rain and lower maxima (26–29 °C) through August 15 has given way to clearing conditions, allowing greater solar heating under light northerly winds. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles shows modest spread due to variable cloud cover and humidity in the subtropical monsoon regime, where typical August peaks average 35 °C but daily outcomes hinge on timing of any convective activity. Traders appear to weigh these near-term steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture against historical analogs, producing closely matched probabilities across the 32–34 °C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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