Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and models indicate a daily maximum near 34–35°C for Chongqing on August 14, anchoring the tightly contested leading market outcomes at 34°C (37%) and 35°C (31%). This subtropical basin location experiences typical mid-August heat under high humidity and limited ventilation from surrounding terrain, which can suppress cooling overnight and amplify daytime peaks. Short-term model runs show modest uncertainty around cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap the high, while historical August baselines cluster around 32–36°C. Updated CMA guidance and ensemble forecasts expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 14?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 14?
34°C 37%
35°C 33%
36°C 14%
33°C 10%
NEW
$11,557 Vol.
NEW
$11,557 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
10%
34°C
37%
35°C
33%
36°C
14%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 37%
35°C 33%
36°C 14%
33°C 10%
NEW
$11,557 Vol.
NEW
$11,557 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
30°C or below
$1,473 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,124 Vol.
2%
32°C
$356 Vol.
3%
33°C
$316 Vol.
10%
34°C
$4,744 Vol.
37%
35°C
$832 Vol.
33%
36°C
$658 Vol.
14%
37°C
$650 Vol.
5%
38°C
$443 Vol.
2%
39°C
$274 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$688 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and models indicate a daily maximum near 34–35°C for Chongqing on August 14, anchoring the tightly contested leading market outcomes at 34°C (37%) and 35°C (31%). This subtropical basin location experiences typical mid-August heat under high humidity and limited ventilation from surrounding terrain, which can suppress cooling overnight and amplify daytime peaks. Short-term model runs show modest uncertainty around cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap the high, while historical August baselines cluster around 32–36°C. Updated CMA guidance and ensemble forecasts expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$11,557End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and models indicate a daily maximum near 34–35°C for Chongqing on August 14, anchoring the tightly contested leading market outcomes at 34°C (37%) and 35°C (31%). This subtropical basin location experiences typical mid-August heat under high humidity and limited ventilation from surrounding terrain, which can suppress cooling overnight and amplify daytime peaks. Short-term model runs show modest uncertainty around cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap the high, while historical August baselines cluster around 32–36°C. Updated CMA guidance and ensemble forecasts expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,557End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Chinese meteorological agencies and models indicate a daily maximum near 34–35°C for Chongqing on August 14, anchoring the tightly contested leading market outcomes at 34°C (37%) and 35°C (31%). This subtropical basin location experiences typical mid-August heat under high humidity and limited ventilation from surrounding terrain, which can suppress cooling overnight and amplify daytime peaks. Short-term model runs show modest uncertainty around cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap the high, while historical August baselines cluster around 32–36°C. Updated CMA guidance and ensemble forecasts expected in the next 12–24 hours will likely refine resolution probabilities ahead of the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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