Forecast uncertainty for Zhengzhou's August 15 maximum temperature centers on variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and boundary-layer moisture, with official guidance indicating highs near 30–31°C. Recent overcast conditions and light rain on August 14 suggest possible suppression of peak readings toward 29°C if convection persists or intensifies, while clearing skies and stronger insolation could push values to 32°C or above under typical late-summer subtropical flow. Model spreads reflect differences in timing of any thunderstorms and low-level wind shifts that modulate daytime heating. Traders weigh these near-term atmospheric variables against climatological August averages around 31–32°C, with resolution hinging on precise observational data from local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 15?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 15?
32°C or higher 46%
30°C 28%
29°C 11%
28°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
10%
29°C
11%
30°C
28%
31°C
30%
32°C or higher
46%
32°C or higher 46%
30°C 28%
29°C 11%
28°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
6%
25°C
$10 Vol.
7%
26°C
$10 Vol.
7%
27°C
$10 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$0 Vol.
28%
31°C
$16 Vol.
30%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Zhengzhou's August 15 maximum temperature centers on variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and boundary-layer moisture, with official guidance indicating highs near 30–31°C. Recent overcast conditions and light rain on August 14 suggest possible suppression of peak readings toward 29°C if convection persists or intensifies, while clearing skies and stronger insolation could push values to 32°C or above under typical late-summer subtropical flow. Model spreads reflect differences in timing of any thunderstorms and low-level wind shifts that modulate daytime heating. Traders weigh these near-term atmospheric variables against climatological August averages around 31–32°C, with resolution hinging on precise observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$60End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty for Zhengzhou's August 15 maximum temperature centers on variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and boundary-layer moisture, with official guidance indicating highs near 30–31°C. Recent overcast conditions and light rain on August 14 suggest possible suppression of peak readings toward 29°C if convection persists or intensifies, while clearing skies and stronger insolation could push values to 32°C or above under typical late-summer subtropical flow. Model spreads reflect differences in timing of any thunderstorms and low-level wind shifts that modulate daytime heating. Traders weigh these near-term atmospheric variables against climatological August averages around 31–32°C, with resolution hinging on precise observational data from local stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$60End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty for Zhengzhou's August 15 maximum temperature centers on variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and boundary-layer moisture, with official guidance indicating highs near 30–31°C. Recent overcast conditions and light rain on August 14 suggest possible suppression of peak readings toward 29°C if convection persists or intensifies, while clearing skies and stronger insolation could push values to 32°C or above under typical late-summer subtropical flow. Model spreads reflect differences in timing of any thunderstorms and low-level wind shifts that modulate daytime heating. Traders weigh these near-term atmospheric variables against climatological August averages around 31–32°C, with resolution hinging on precise observational data from local stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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