Forecast models for Milan on August 15 show a tight cluster around 34–35°C as the primary driver of trader sentiment, with ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS indicating similar peak values under persistent high pressure and light winds across the Po Valley. Minor differences stem from variations in predicted boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and afternoon cloud development, which can shift maximum readings by 1°C. Current surface observations and upper-air soundings support this range, consistent with typical mid-August climatology for the area. Traders weigh these model spreads against the resolution criteria of official station measurements, with fresh model updates and satellite data expected before final readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 15?
34°C 45%
35°C 39%
33°C 11%
36°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
11%
34°C
45%
35°C
39%
36°C
7%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 45%
35°C 39%
33°C 11%
36°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$215 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$454 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,425 Vol.
11%
34°C
$922 Vol.
45%
35°C
$1,679 Vol.
39%
36°C
$1,341 Vol.
7%
37°C
$525 Vol.
2%
38°C
$509 Vol.
1%
39°C
$505 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$143 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Milan on August 15 show a tight cluster around 34–35°C as the primary driver of trader sentiment, with ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS indicating similar peak values under persistent high pressure and light winds across the Po Valley. Minor differences stem from variations in predicted boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and afternoon cloud development, which can shift maximum readings by 1°C. Current surface observations and upper-air soundings support this range, consistent with typical mid-August climatology for the area. Traders weigh these model spreads against the resolution criteria of official station measurements, with fresh model updates and satellite data expected before final readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,050End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Milan on August 15 show a tight cluster around 34–35°C as the primary driver of trader sentiment, with ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS indicating similar peak values under persistent high pressure and light winds across the Po Valley. Minor differences stem from variations in predicted boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and afternoon cloud development, which can shift maximum readings by 1°C. Current surface observations and upper-air soundings support this range, consistent with typical mid-August climatology for the area. Traders weigh these model spreads against the resolution criteria of official station measurements, with fresh model updates and satellite data expected before final readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,050End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Milan on August 15 show a tight cluster around 34–35°C as the primary driver of trader sentiment, with ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS indicating similar peak values under persistent high pressure and light winds across the Po Valley. Minor differences stem from variations in predicted boundary-layer mixing, urban heat retention, and afternoon cloud development, which can shift maximum readings by 1°C. Current surface observations and upper-air soundings support this range, consistent with typical mid-August climatology for the area. Traders weigh these model spreads against the resolution criteria of official station measurements, with fresh model updates and satellite data expected before final readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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