Latest short-range model consensus from the ECMWF, Met Office, and Italian Meteorological Service points to a daily maximum of 34–36 °C in Milan today under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that enhance surface heating in the Po Valley well above the mid-August climatological average of 29–30 °C. This scientific setup, combined with urban heat-island effects and limited boundary-layer mixing, positions 35 °C as the leading outcome at 55 % implied probability, followed by 34 °C at 27 %. Residual uncertainty in subsidence patterns, thin high cloud cover, or modest Alpine influences keeps 33 °C and 36 °C as secondary possibilities, while extremes remain negligible. Updated model runs and official observations from Milan Linate or Malpensa will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 14?
35°C 56%
34°C 26%
33°C 12%
36°C 5%
NEW
$31,008 Vol.
NEW
$31,008 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
12%
34°C
26%
35°C
56%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 56%
34°C 26%
33°C 12%
36°C 5%
NEW
$31,008 Vol.
NEW
$31,008 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
29°C or below
$478 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$549 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,019 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,070 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5,247 Vol.
12%
34°C
$4,863 Vol.
26%
35°C
$11,928 Vol.
56%
36°C
$3,014 Vol.
5%
37°C
$1,372 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,019 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$448 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model consensus from the ECMWF, Met Office, and Italian Meteorological Service points to a daily maximum of 34–36 °C in Milan today under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that enhance surface heating in the Po Valley well above the mid-August climatological average of 29–30 °C. This scientific setup, combined with urban heat-island effects and limited boundary-layer mixing, positions 35 °C as the leading outcome at 55 % implied probability, followed by 34 °C at 27 %. Residual uncertainty in subsidence patterns, thin high cloud cover, or modest Alpine influences keeps 33 °C and 36 °C as secondary possibilities, while extremes remain negligible. Updated model runs and official observations from Milan Linate or Malpensa will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$31,008End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model consensus from the ECMWF, Met Office, and Italian Meteorological Service points to a daily maximum of 34–36 °C in Milan today under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that enhance surface heating in the Po Valley well above the mid-August climatological average of 29–30 °C. This scientific setup, combined with urban heat-island effects and limited boundary-layer mixing, positions 35 °C as the leading outcome at 55 % implied probability, followed by 34 °C at 27 %. Residual uncertainty in subsidence patterns, thin high cloud cover, or modest Alpine influences keeps 33 °C and 36 °C as secondary possibilities, while extremes remain negligible. Updated model runs and official observations from Milan Linate or Malpensa will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,008End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range model consensus from the ECMWF, Met Office, and Italian Meteorological Service points to a daily maximum of 34–36 °C in Milan today under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that enhance surface heating in the Po Valley well above the mid-August climatological average of 29–30 °C. This scientific setup, combined with urban heat-island effects and limited boundary-layer mixing, positions 35 °C as the leading outcome at 55 % implied probability, followed by 34 °C at 27 %. Residual uncertainty in subsidence patterns, thin high cloud cover, or modest Alpine influences keeps 33 °C and 36 °C as secondary possibilities, while extremes remain negligible. Updated model runs and official observations from Milan Linate or Malpensa will determine final resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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