Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a minimum temperature of 25°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 14 amid mostly cloudy skies, humidity near 90%, and light easterly winds that suppress overnight radiative cooling. This official guidance, based on dense observational networks and model consensus, anchors trader sentiment at the 25°C outcome. Persistent summer monsoon moisture and limited clear-sky periods further reduce the likelihood of sharper nocturnal drops below the forecast floor. While model runs can occasionally underperform by 1–2°C due to localized effects or timing shifts in cloud cover, the current atmospheric setup shows strong alignment with historical analogs for mid-August conditions in the region.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 14?
25°C 99%
24°C 2%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$14,944 Vol.
$14,944 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99%
24°C 2%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$14,944 Vol.
$14,944 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
20°C or below
$307 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$574 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$885 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,286 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,219 Vol.
2%
25°C
$4,351 Vol.
99%
26°C
$2,291 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,163 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$425 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$396 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$328 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a minimum temperature of 25°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 14 amid mostly cloudy skies, humidity near 90%, and light easterly winds that suppress overnight radiative cooling. This official guidance, based on dense observational networks and model consensus, anchors trader sentiment at the 25°C outcome. Persistent summer monsoon moisture and limited clear-sky periods further reduce the likelihood of sharper nocturnal drops below the forecast floor. While model runs can occasionally underperform by 1–2°C due to localized effects or timing shifts in cloud cover, the current atmospheric setup shows strong alignment with historical analogs for mid-August conditions in the region.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$14,944End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a minimum temperature of 25°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 14 amid mostly cloudy skies, humidity near 90%, and light easterly winds that suppress overnight radiative cooling. This official guidance, based on dense observational networks and model consensus, anchors trader sentiment at the 25°C outcome. Persistent summer monsoon moisture and limited clear-sky periods further reduce the likelihood of sharper nocturnal drops below the forecast floor. While model runs can occasionally underperform by 1–2°C due to localized effects or timing shifts in cloud cover, the current atmospheric setup shows strong alignment with historical analogs for mid-August conditions in the region.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,944End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project a minimum temperature of 25°C for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 14 amid mostly cloudy skies, humidity near 90%, and light easterly winds that suppress overnight radiative cooling. This official guidance, based on dense observational networks and model consensus, anchors trader sentiment at the 25°C outcome. Persistent summer monsoon moisture and limited clear-sky periods further reduce the likelihood of sharper nocturnal drops below the forecast floor. While model runs can occasionally underperform by 1–2°C due to localized effects or timing shifts in cloud cover, the current atmospheric setup shows strong alignment with historical analogs for mid-August conditions in the region.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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