Official temperature observations from Panama's meteorological agency confirmed a daily maximum of 34°C in Panama City on August 13, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. In the wet season, typical highs hover near 30–32°C under prevailing trade winds and frequent convection, yet localized solar heating, reduced cloud cover, and urban heat island effects can elevate peaks by 1–2°C above model consensus. National forecasts had centered near 33°C, but post-event verification resolved the market decisively. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare official data revisions or station-specific measurement discrepancies, though historical records show such adjustments occur infrequently once preliminary reports are validated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 13?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 13?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$21,462 Vol.
$21,462 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$21,462 Vol.
$21,462 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
$246 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$794 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,075 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$998 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,379 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$9,273 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,351 Vol.
100%
35°C
$1,739 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$753 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$589 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Panama's meteorological agency confirmed a daily maximum of 34°C in Panama City on August 13, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. In the wet season, typical highs hover near 30–32°C under prevailing trade winds and frequent convection, yet localized solar heating, reduced cloud cover, and urban heat island effects can elevate peaks by 1–2°C above model consensus. National forecasts had centered near 33°C, but post-event verification resolved the market decisively. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare official data revisions or station-specific measurement discrepancies, though historical records show such adjustments occur infrequently once preliminary reports are validated.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$21,462End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Panama's meteorological agency confirmed a daily maximum of 34°C in Panama City on August 13, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. In the wet season, typical highs hover near 30–32°C under prevailing trade winds and frequent convection, yet localized solar heating, reduced cloud cover, and urban heat island effects can elevate peaks by 1–2°C above model consensus. National forecasts had centered near 33°C, but post-event verification resolved the market decisively. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare official data revisions or station-specific measurement discrepancies, though historical records show such adjustments occur infrequently once preliminary reports are validated.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,462End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from Panama's meteorological agency confirmed a daily maximum of 34°C in Panama City on August 13, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. In the wet season, typical highs hover near 30–32°C under prevailing trade winds and frequent convection, yet localized solar heating, reduced cloud cover, and urban heat island effects can elevate peaks by 1–2°C above model consensus. National forecasts had centered near 33°C, but post-event verification resolved the market decisively. Realistic challenges remain limited to rare official data revisions or station-specific measurement discrepancies, though historical records show such adjustments occur infrequently once preliminary reports are validated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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