**Trader sentiment for Atlanta's August 14 daily high temperature centers on mid-90s readings, with 94–95 °F holding the largest share of implied probability (46 %) and 96–97 °F next at 25.5 %.** These outcomes reflect the latest National Weather Service and model consensus pointing to a mostly sunny to partly cloudy day with a forecast high near 93–95 °F at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL). Afternoon heating under typical late-summer subtropical conditions—high solar insolation, dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, and light southwesterly flow—supports temperatures climbing into this range before isolated thunderstorms develop late in the day and potentially cap the peak. Recent observations from the prior 24–48 hours show afternoon readings reaching the upper 80s to low 90s, consistent with seasonal climatology where Atlanta August highs average near 92 °F. Heat-index values approaching or exceeding 100 °F underscore the role of moisture, but the market resolves on official dry-bulb temperature. Shorter odds on 92–93 °F (19 %) and 98–99 °F (4.5 %) capture remaining uncertainty from cloud timing or convective initiation, while sub-90 °F or 100 °F+ scenarios remain low-probability outliers given current guidance. Updated NWS forecast discussions and model runs over the next several hours will be the key near-term drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Atlanta on August 14?
94-95°F 46%
96-97°F 22%
92-93°F 19%
90-91°F 6%
$12,401 Vol.
$12,401 Vol.
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 46%
96-97°F 22%
92-93°F 19%
90-91°F 6%
$12,401 Vol.
$12,401 Vol.
89°F or below
1%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
19%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
22%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Atlanta's August 14 daily high temperature centers on mid-90s readings, with 94–95 °F holding the largest share of implied probability (46 %) and 96–97 °F next at 25.5 %.** These outcomes reflect the latest National Weather Service and model consensus pointing to a mostly sunny to partly cloudy day with a forecast high near 93–95 °F at Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport (KATL). Afternoon heating under typical late-summer subtropical conditions—high solar insolation, dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, and light southwesterly flow—supports temperatures climbing into this range before isolated thunderstorms develop late in the day and potentially cap the peak. Recent observations from the prior 24–48 hours show afternoon readings reaching the upper 80s to low 90s, consistent with seasonal climatology where Atlanta August highs average near 92 °F. Heat-index values approaching or exceeding 100 °F underscore the role of moisture, but the market resolves on official dry-bulb temperature. Shorter odds on 92–93 °F (19 %) and 98–99 °F (4.5 %) capture remaining uncertainty from cloud timing or convective initiation, while sub-90 °F or 100 °F+ scenarios remain low-probability outliers given current guidance. Updated NWS forecast discussions and model runs over the next several hours will be the key near-term drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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