Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models project a high near 84°F in New York City on August 14, 2026, consistent with the normal August Central Park high of 83–84°F and supporting the market's concentration on 86–89°F outcomes. Milder steering patterns and moderate humidity are limiting strong daytime heating or convective cooling, while broader seasonal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center indicate a lean toward above-average temperatures for the month. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only low-probability scenarios for 90°F+ tied to unexpected clear-sky intensification or for sub-84°F readings from increased cloud cover. Updated National Weather Service guidance closer to the date will refine these ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 14?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 14?
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 13%
90-91°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
81°F or below
2%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
44%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 44%
88-89°F 30%
84-85°F 13%
90-91°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 14, 2026
81°F or below
$30 Vol.
2%
82-83°F
$379 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$454 Vol.
13%
86-87°F
$350 Vol.
44%
88-89°F
$295 Vol.
30%
90-91°F
$118 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$319 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$310 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$325 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$596 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$596 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models project a high near 84°F in New York City on August 14, 2026, consistent with the normal August Central Park high of 83–84°F and supporting the market's concentration on 86–89°F outcomes. Milder steering patterns and moderate humidity are limiting strong daytime heating or convective cooling, while broader seasonal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center indicate a lean toward above-average temperatures for the month. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only low-probability scenarios for 90°F+ tied to unexpected clear-sky intensification or for sub-84°F readings from increased cloud cover. Updated National Weather Service guidance closer to the date will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$3,772End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models project a high near 84°F in New York City on August 14, 2026, consistent with the normal August Central Park high of 83–84°F and supporting the market's concentration on 86–89°F outcomes. Milder steering patterns and moderate humidity are limiting strong daytime heating or convective cooling, while broader seasonal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center indicate a lean toward above-average temperatures for the month. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only low-probability scenarios for 90°F+ tied to unexpected clear-sky intensification or for sub-84°F readings from increased cloud cover. Updated National Weather Service guidance closer to the date will refine these ranges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,772End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and regional models project a high near 84°F in New York City on August 14, 2026, consistent with the normal August Central Park high of 83–84°F and supporting the market's concentration on 86–89°F outcomes. Milder steering patterns and moderate humidity are limiting strong daytime heating or convective cooling, while broader seasonal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center indicate a lean toward above-average temperatures for the month. Model consensus shows limited spread around these values, with only low-probability scenarios for 90°F+ tied to unexpected clear-sky intensification or for sub-84°F readings from increased cloud cover. Updated National Weather Service guidance closer to the date will refine these ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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