Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models point to an overnight minimum of 21–25°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 13 under mostly clear to overcast skies, positioning 23–24°C as the market's leading outcomes. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily lows average near 22–24°C following the peak summer monsoon and recent heatwave conditions that have kept overnight readings elevated. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus on modest cooling from prevailing high pressure and light winds, with limited precipitation risk reducing the chance of further suppression. Updated KMA guidance and any late-model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 13?
24°C 39%
23°C 38%
25°C 12%
22°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
11%
23°C
34%
24°C
39%
25°C
12%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 39%
23°C 38%
25°C 12%
22°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
18°C or below
$84 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$21 Vol.
1%
20°C
$11 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
2%
22°C
$220 Vol.
11%
23°C
$101 Vol.
34%
24°C
$515 Vol.
39%
25°C
$96 Vol.
12%
26°C
$84 Vol.
4%
27°C
$70 Vol.
4%
28°C or higher
$65 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models point to an overnight minimum of 21–25°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 13 under mostly clear to overcast skies, positioning 23–24°C as the market's leading outcomes. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily lows average near 22–24°C following the peak summer monsoon and recent heatwave conditions that have kept overnight readings elevated. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus on modest cooling from prevailing high pressure and light winds, with limited precipitation risk reducing the chance of further suppression. Updated KMA guidance and any late-model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,272End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models point to an overnight minimum of 21–25°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 13 under mostly clear to overcast skies, positioning 23–24°C as the market's leading outcomes. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily lows average near 22–24°C following the peak summer monsoon and recent heatwave conditions that have kept overnight readings elevated. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus on modest cooling from prevailing high pressure and light winds, with limited precipitation risk reducing the chance of further suppression. Updated KMA guidance and any late-model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,272End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models point to an overnight minimum of 21–25°C for Seoul/Incheon on August 13 under mostly clear to overcast skies, positioning 23–24°C as the market's leading outcomes. This aligns with climatological norms for late August, when daily lows average near 22–24°C following the peak summer monsoon and recent heatwave conditions that have kept overnight readings elevated. Trader sentiment reflects model consensus on modest cooling from prevailing high pressure and light winds, with limited precipitation risk reducing the chance of further suppression. Updated KMA guidance and any late-model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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