Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies informing AccuWeather and timeanddate position Moscow’s August 8 maximum near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. This aligns with late-summer patterns where climatological daytime highs average 22–23°C, though current ensemble runs show modest upward bias from advection and reduced cloud cover. Model updates over the past 48 hours exhibit limited divergence and no significant synoptic changes before resolution, keeping lower probabilities on 23°C or 26°C as residual forecast uncertainty. Official observations will determine the precise peak against historical August baselines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 8?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 8?
24°C 50%
25°C 38%
23°C 8%
26°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
50%
25°C
38%
26°C
8%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 38%
23°C 8%
26°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
20°C or below
$386 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$459 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$653 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,081 Vol.
8%
24°C
$2,974 Vol.
50%
25°C
$1,338 Vol.
38%
26°C
$1,141 Vol.
8%
27°C
$601 Vol.
1%
28°C
$452 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$536 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$376 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies informing AccuWeather and timeanddate position Moscow’s August 8 maximum near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. This aligns with late-summer patterns where climatological daytime highs average 22–23°C, though current ensemble runs show modest upward bias from advection and reduced cloud cover. Model updates over the past 48 hours exhibit limited divergence and no significant synoptic changes before resolution, keeping lower probabilities on 23°C or 26°C as residual forecast uncertainty. Official observations will determine the precise peak against historical August baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,997End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies informing AccuWeather and timeanddate position Moscow’s August 8 maximum near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. This aligns with late-summer patterns where climatological daytime highs average 22–23°C, though current ensemble runs show modest upward bias from advection and reduced cloud cover. Model updates over the past 48 hours exhibit limited divergence and no significant synoptic changes before resolution, keeping lower probabilities on 23°C or 26°C as residual forecast uncertainty. Official observations will determine the precise peak against historical August baselines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,997End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies informing AccuWeather and timeanddate position Moscow’s August 8 maximum near 24–25°C under partly cloudy skies and light winds, driving the market’s strong consensus on those outcomes. This aligns with late-summer patterns where climatological daytime highs average 22–23°C, though current ensemble runs show modest upward bias from advection and reduced cloud cover. Model updates over the past 48 hours exhibit limited divergence and no significant synoptic changes before resolution, keeping lower probabilities on 23°C or 26°C as residual forecast uncertainty. Official observations will determine the precise peak against historical August baselines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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