Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 8 center on daily maxima of 28–30°C under a persistent summer high-pressure ridge promoting warm advection across the Marmara region. Model consensus from agencies highlights stable subsidence and limited cloud cover, consistent with climatological August averages near 28–29°C, keeping 29°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 67.5%. Minor variations in steering flow or localized sea-breeze effects could nudge readings toward 28°C or 30°C, reflected in their combined 37% probability, while probabilities drop sharply beyond 31°C due to the absence of stronger southerly flow or heat-wave conditions in current guidance. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 8?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 8?
29°C 70%
30°C 21%
28°C 9%
31°C 1.7%
$19,904 Vol.
$19,904 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
9%
29°C
70%
30°C
21%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 70%
30°C 21%
28°C 9%
31°C 1.7%
$19,904 Vol.
$19,904 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
23°C or below
$486 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$441 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$703 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,343 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,260 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,780 Vol.
9%
29°C
$4,866 Vol.
70%
30°C
$1,713 Vol.
21%
31°C
$1,256 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,259 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$2,033 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 8 center on daily maxima of 28–30°C under a persistent summer high-pressure ridge promoting warm advection across the Marmara region. Model consensus from agencies highlights stable subsidence and limited cloud cover, consistent with climatological August averages near 28–29°C, keeping 29°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 67.5%. Minor variations in steering flow or localized sea-breeze effects could nudge readings toward 28°C or 30°C, reflected in their combined 37% probability, while probabilities drop sharply beyond 31°C due to the absence of stronger southerly flow or heat-wave conditions in current guidance. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$19,904End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 8 center on daily maxima of 28–30°C under a persistent summer high-pressure ridge promoting warm advection across the Marmara region. Model consensus from agencies highlights stable subsidence and limited cloud cover, consistent with climatological August averages near 28–29°C, keeping 29°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 67.5%. Minor variations in steering flow or localized sea-breeze effects could nudge readings toward 28°C or 30°C, reflected in their combined 37% probability, while probabilities drop sharply beyond 31°C due to the absence of stronger southerly flow or heat-wave conditions in current guidance. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,904End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Istanbul on August 8 center on daily maxima of 28–30°C under a persistent summer high-pressure ridge promoting warm advection across the Marmara region. Model consensus from agencies highlights stable subsidence and limited cloud cover, consistent with climatological August averages near 28–29°C, keeping 29°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 67.5%. Minor variations in steering flow or localized sea-breeze effects could nudge readings toward 28°C or 30°C, reflected in their combined 37% probability, while probabilities drop sharply beyond 31°C due to the absence of stronger southerly flow or heat-wave conditions in current guidance. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine these ranges ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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