**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 8, 2026, centers on 32°C as the clear favorite.** Forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models such as AccuWeather indicate a typical early-August Mediterranean summer day under stable high-pressure conditions, with daytime maxima expected in the 30–33 °C range and negligible precipitation or wind shifts that could alter readings. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity near the Mediterranean typically cap extreme spikes, keeping values close to the long-term August average high of about 32 °C. Model consensus and recent observational trends show no significant heatwave or anomalous warming, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (69 %) while allowing modest probability for 33 °C if afternoon heating exceeds expectations. Lower outcomes like 31 °C remain possible only with stronger-than-forecast onshore flow, while probabilities above 34 °C stay minimal given current atmospheric stability. The market-implied odds closely track the narrow forecast envelope and historical climatology for the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 8?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 8?
32°C 69%
33°C 29%
31°C 3%
34°C 2%
$11,043 Vol.
$11,043 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
69%
33°C
29%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 69%
33°C 29%
31°C 3%
34°C 2%
$11,043 Vol.
$11,043 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
$386 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$906 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$494 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,030 Vol.
3%
32°C
$4,089 Vol.
69%
33°C
$1,169 Vol.
29%
34°C
$673 Vol.
2%
35°C
$753 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$707 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$380 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 8, 2026, centers on 32°C as the clear favorite.** Forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models such as AccuWeather indicate a typical early-August Mediterranean summer day under stable high-pressure conditions, with daytime maxima expected in the 30–33 °C range and negligible precipitation or wind shifts that could alter readings. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity near the Mediterranean typically cap extreme spikes, keeping values close to the long-term August average high of about 32 °C.
Model consensus and recent observational trends show no significant heatwave or anomalous warming, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (69 %) while allowing modest probability for 33 °C if afternoon heating exceeds expectations. Lower outcomes like 31 °C remain possible only with stronger-than-forecast onshore flow, while probabilities above 34 °C stay minimal given current atmospheric stability. The market-implied odds closely track the narrow forecast envelope and historical climatology for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$11,043End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 8, 2026, centers on 32°C as the clear favorite.** Forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models such as AccuWeather indicate a typical early-August Mediterranean summer day under stable high-pressure conditions, with daytime maxima expected in the 30–33 °C range and negligible precipitation or wind shifts that could alter readings. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity near the Mediterranean typically cap extreme spikes, keeping values close to the long-term August average high of about 32 °C.
Model consensus and recent observational trends show no significant heatwave or anomalous warming, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (69 %) while allowing modest probability for 33 °C if afternoon heating exceeds expectations. Lower outcomes like 31 °C remain possible only with stronger-than-forecast onshore flow, while probabilities above 34 °C stay minimal given current atmospheric stability. The market-implied odds closely track the narrow forecast envelope and historical climatology for the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,043End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 8, 2026, centers on 32°C as the clear favorite.** Forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and international models such as AccuWeather indicate a typical early-August Mediterranean summer day under stable high-pressure conditions, with daytime maxima expected in the 30–33 °C range and negligible precipitation or wind shifts that could alter readings. Coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity near the Mediterranean typically cap extreme spikes, keeping values close to the long-term August average high of about 32 °C. Model consensus and recent observational trends show no significant heatwave or anomalous warming, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (69 %) while allowing modest probability for 33 °C if afternoon heating exceeds expectations. Lower outcomes like 31 °C remain possible only with stronger-than-forecast onshore flow, while probabilities above 34 °C stay minimal given current atmospheric stability. The market-implied odds closely track the narrow forecast envelope and historical climatology for the date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions