Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF currently converge on a daytime maximum of 32–33 °C in Tel Aviv on August 9, 2026, under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and typical Mediterranean summer insolation, positioning 33 °C as the market favorite at 65.5 %. Seasonal climatology shows average August highs near 32 °C along the coast, where sea-breeze moderation and high humidity limit extremes, while recent short-range runs indicate slightly above-normal 850 hPa temperatures without significant synoptic forcing for stronger heating. Light winds and stable high pressure support incremental daytime warming, yet no major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours that would favor 34 °C or higher outcomes. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 9?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 9?
33°C 66%
32°C 25%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
25%
33°C
66%
34°C
11%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 66%
32°C 25%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
29°C or below
$307 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$404 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$394 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,005 Vol.
25%
33°C
$1,694 Vol.
66%
34°C
$824 Vol.
11%
35°C
$561 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$391 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$218 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$377 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$377 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF currently converge on a daytime maximum of 32–33 °C in Tel Aviv on August 9, 2026, under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and typical Mediterranean summer insolation, positioning 33 °C as the market favorite at 65.5 %. Seasonal climatology shows average August highs near 32 °C along the coast, where sea-breeze moderation and high humidity limit extremes, while recent short-range runs indicate slightly above-normal 850 hPa temperatures without significant synoptic forcing for stronger heating. Light winds and stable high pressure support incremental daytime warming, yet no major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours that would favor 34 °C or higher outcomes. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,553End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF currently converge on a daytime maximum of 32–33 °C in Tel Aviv on August 9, 2026, under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and typical Mediterranean summer insolation, positioning 33 °C as the market favorite at 65.5 %. Seasonal climatology shows average August highs near 32 °C along the coast, where sea-breeze moderation and high humidity limit extremes, while recent short-range runs indicate slightly above-normal 850 hPa temperatures without significant synoptic forcing for stronger heating. Light winds and stable high pressure support incremental daytime warming, yet no major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours that would favor 34 °C or higher outcomes. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,553End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF currently converge on a daytime maximum of 32–33 °C in Tel Aviv on August 9, 2026, under clear skies, moderate northerly flow, and typical Mediterranean summer insolation, positioning 33 °C as the market favorite at 65.5 %. Seasonal climatology shows average August highs near 32 °C along the coast, where sea-breeze moderation and high humidity limit extremes, while recent short-range runs indicate slightly above-normal 850 hPa temperatures without significant synoptic forcing for stronger heating. Light winds and stable high pressure support incremental daytime warming, yet no major model shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours that would favor 34 °C or higher outcomes. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine the precise maximum ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions