Forecast consensus from meteorological models places Mexico City's daily maximum for August 8 near 23–25°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 24°C (46.5%) and 25°C (26.5%). Early-August climatology shows average highs of 23–24°C at the capital's elevation, moderated by frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover during the peak rainy season that limits radiative heating. Recent guidance indicates scattered showers and variable humidity could cap peaks near the lower end of that range or allow brief clearing to push toward 25°C, while stronger advection or persistent overcast remains unlikely to drop readings to 22°C or below. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will confirm the exact maximum for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 8?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 8?
24°C 48%
25°C 27%
23°C 20%
22°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
20%
24°C
48%
25°C
27%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
25°C 27%
23°C 20%
22°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
18°C or below
$784 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,791 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$487 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$374 Vol.
3%
22°C
$683 Vol.
5%
23°C
$694 Vol.
20%
24°C
$849 Vol.
48%
25°C
$657 Vol.
27%
26°C
$1,771 Vol.
5%
27°C
$246 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$280 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models places Mexico City's daily maximum for August 8 near 23–25°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 24°C (46.5%) and 25°C (26.5%). Early-August climatology shows average highs of 23–24°C at the capital's elevation, moderated by frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover during the peak rainy season that limits radiative heating. Recent guidance indicates scattered showers and variable humidity could cap peaks near the lower end of that range or allow brief clearing to push toward 25°C, while stronger advection or persistent overcast remains unlikely to drop readings to 22°C or below. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will confirm the exact maximum for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$8,617End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models places Mexico City's daily maximum for August 8 near 23–25°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 24°C (46.5%) and 25°C (26.5%). Early-August climatology shows average highs of 23–24°C at the capital's elevation, moderated by frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover during the peak rainy season that limits radiative heating. Recent guidance indicates scattered showers and variable humidity could cap peaks near the lower end of that range or allow brief clearing to push toward 25°C, while stronger advection or persistent overcast remains unlikely to drop readings to 22°C or below. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will confirm the exact maximum for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,617End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from meteorological models places Mexico City's daily maximum for August 8 near 23–25°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 24°C (46.5%) and 25°C (26.5%). Early-August climatology shows average highs of 23–24°C at the capital's elevation, moderated by frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover during the peak rainy season that limits radiative heating. Recent guidance indicates scattered showers and variable humidity could cap peaks near the lower end of that range or allow brief clearing to push toward 25°C, while stronger advection or persistent overcast remains unlikely to drop readings to 22°C or below. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will confirm the exact maximum for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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