Mexico City's elevation above 2,200 meters and the influence of the rainy season typically keep August daily highs near 22–24°C, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) observations serving as the authoritative record for market resolution. Recent model consensus and surface observations for August 7 aligned precisely on a maximum of 24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome. Minor deviations in station selection or reporting timing represent the only realistic uncertainties that could alter settlement, though standardized protocols minimize such risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 7?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$21,463 Vol.
$21,463 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$21,463 Vol.
$21,463 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's elevation above 2,200 meters and the influence of the rainy season typically keep August daily highs near 22–24°C, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) observations serving as the authoritative record for market resolution. Recent model consensus and surface observations for August 7 aligned precisely on a maximum of 24°C, driving the 100% market-implied probability for that outcome. Minor deviations in station selection or reporting timing represent the only realistic uncertainties that could alter settlement, though standardized protocols minimize such risks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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