The market's overwhelming 100% consensus on 34°C reflects official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature as the daily maximum for Panama City on August 7, 2026. This outcome exceeds the long-term August climatological average of 29–30°C, driven by typical wet-season dynamics where morning solar heating under limited cloud cover allows surface temperatures to climb before afternoon convection and thunderstorms develop. Model guidance had pointed toward this range through enhanced insolation and stable steering patterns, with trader positioning aligning closely to the expected resolution threshold. While measurement revisions or station-specific data could theoretically alter the recorded high, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are validated by national weather services.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 7?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 7?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$18,559 Vol.
$18,559 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$18,559 Vol.
$18,559 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
27°C or below
$1,180 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,226 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$798 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,917 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,123 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,192 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$3,930 Vol.
100%
35°C
$2,464 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$696 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$710 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 100% consensus on 34°C reflects official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature as the daily maximum for Panama City on August 7, 2026. This outcome exceeds the long-term August climatological average of 29–30°C, driven by typical wet-season dynamics where morning solar heating under limited cloud cover allows surface temperatures to climb before afternoon convection and thunderstorms develop. Model guidance had pointed toward this range through enhanced insolation and stable steering patterns, with trader positioning aligning closely to the expected resolution threshold. While measurement revisions or station-specific data could theoretically alter the recorded high, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are validated by national weather services.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$18,559End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 100% consensus on 34°C reflects official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature as the daily maximum for Panama City on August 7, 2026. This outcome exceeds the long-term August climatological average of 29–30°C, driven by typical wet-season dynamics where morning solar heating under limited cloud cover allows surface temperatures to climb before afternoon convection and thunderstorms develop. Model guidance had pointed toward this range through enhanced insolation and stable steering patterns, with trader positioning aligning closely to the expected resolution threshold. While measurement revisions or station-specific data could theoretically alter the recorded high, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are validated by national weather services.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,559End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market's overwhelming 100% consensus on 34°C reflects official meteorological observations confirming that peak temperature as the daily maximum for Panama City on August 7, 2026. This outcome exceeds the long-term August climatological average of 29–30°C, driven by typical wet-season dynamics where morning solar heating under limited cloud cover allows surface temperatures to climb before afternoon convection and thunderstorms develop. Model guidance had pointed toward this range through enhanced insolation and stable steering patterns, with trader positioning aligning closely to the expected resolution threshold. While measurement revisions or station-specific data could theoretically alter the recorded high, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are validated by national weather services.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions