Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 9 project daytime highs of 30–31°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with 60% rain chance and persistent cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. These align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C and 30°C, reflecting typical wet-season moderation where average August maxima hover near 31°C but often fall short on rainy days. Historical climatology from PAGASA and NOAA shows similar ranges without extreme heat anomalies this period, while model consensus emphasizes humidity-driven variability rather than sharp warming. Final official readings tomorrow will resolve the market amid ongoing monsoon influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 9?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 9?
29°C 44%
30°C 33%
28°C 15%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
15%
29°C
44%
30°C
33%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 44%
30°C 33%
28°C 15%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
23°C or below
$364 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$394 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$570 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$180 Vol.
1%
27°C
$158 Vol.
4%
28°C
$623 Vol.
15%
29°C
$535 Vol.
44%
30°C
$624 Vol.
33%
31°C
$585 Vol.
6%
32°C
$203 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 9 project daytime highs of 30–31°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with 60% rain chance and persistent cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. These align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C and 30°C, reflecting typical wet-season moderation where average August maxima hover near 31°C but often fall short on rainy days. Historical climatology from PAGASA and NOAA shows similar ranges without extreme heat anomalies this period, while model consensus emphasizes humidity-driven variability rather than sharp warming. Final official readings tomorrow will resolve the market amid ongoing monsoon influences.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$4,246End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 9 project daytime highs of 30–31°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with 60% rain chance and persistent cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. These align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C and 30°C, reflecting typical wet-season moderation where average August maxima hover near 31°C but often fall short on rainy days. Historical climatology from PAGASA and NOAA shows similar ranges without extreme heat anomalies this period, while model consensus emphasizes humidity-driven variability rather than sharp warming. Final official readings tomorrow will resolve the market amid ongoing monsoon influences.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,246End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on August 9 project daytime highs of 30–31°C under southwest monsoon conditions, with 60% rain chance and persistent cloud cover that limits peak solar heating. These align closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 29°C and 30°C, reflecting typical wet-season moderation where average August maxima hover near 31°C but often fall short on rainy days. Historical climatology from PAGASA and NOAA shows similar ranges without extreme heat anomalies this period, while model consensus emphasizes humidity-driven variability rather than sharp warming. Final official readings tomorrow will resolve the market amid ongoing monsoon influences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions