Close odds between 33°C and 34°C reflect genuine uncertainty in tomorrow’s peak reading amid Karachi’s southwest monsoon conditions, where variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and coastal sea breezes can suppress or allow brief afternoon heating. Model runs show consensus around 31–33°C, yet slight differences in predicted timing of any scattered showers or wind shifts could push the verified maximum (typically measured at official stations) across the 34°C threshold. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, but daily variability from convective activity and low-level moisture remains the key variable traders are weighing ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 9?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 9?
33°C 48%
34°C 40%
32°C 9%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
9%
33°C
48%
34°C
40%
35°C
5%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
34°C 40%
32°C 9%
35°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
28°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$302 Vol.
1%
31°C
$294 Vol.
2%
32°C
$520 Vol.
9%
33°C
$1,027 Vol.
48%
34°C
$1,015 Vol.
40%
35°C
$375 Vol.
5%
36°C
$175 Vol.
1%
37°C
$245 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$218 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close odds between 33°C and 34°C reflect genuine uncertainty in tomorrow’s peak reading amid Karachi’s southwest monsoon conditions, where variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and coastal sea breezes can suppress or allow brief afternoon heating. Model runs show consensus around 31–33°C, yet slight differences in predicted timing of any scattered showers or wind shifts could push the verified maximum (typically measured at official stations) across the 34°C threshold. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, but daily variability from convective activity and low-level moisture remains the key variable traders are weighing ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,714End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close odds between 33°C and 34°C reflect genuine uncertainty in tomorrow’s peak reading amid Karachi’s southwest monsoon conditions, where variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and coastal sea breezes can suppress or allow brief afternoon heating. Model runs show consensus around 31–33°C, yet slight differences in predicted timing of any scattered showers or wind shifts could push the verified maximum (typically measured at official stations) across the 34°C threshold. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, but daily variability from convective activity and low-level moisture remains the key variable traders are weighing ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,714End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Close odds between 33°C and 34°C reflect genuine uncertainty in tomorrow’s peak reading amid Karachi’s southwest monsoon conditions, where variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 80 percent, and coastal sea breezes can suppress or allow brief afternoon heating. Model runs show consensus around 31–33°C, yet slight differences in predicted timing of any scattered showers or wind shifts could push the verified maximum (typically measured at official stations) across the 34°C threshold. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context, but daily variability from convective activity and low-level moisture remains the key variable traders are weighing ahead of final observational data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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