Active monsoon conditions over coastal Sindh, including increased cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers, are the main driver capping Karachi’s daytime heating on August 8, 2026. Pakistan Meteorological Department and international model guidance indicate maximum temperatures near 30–33 °C, consistent with the August climatological average of 31–32 °C and recent below-normal readings. These factors position 33 °C as the market favorite at 56.5 % implied probability, followed by 34 °C at 20.5 %, while suppressing chances of extremes above 35 °C or below 31 °C. Updated model runs and any additional rainfall today could further refine the final observed high before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 8?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 8?
33°C 55%
34°C 27%
32°C 10%
31°C 2.2%
$14,978 Vol.
$14,978 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
10%
33°C
55%
34°C
27%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 55%
34°C 27%
32°C 10%
31°C 2.2%
$14,978 Vol.
$14,978 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
28°C or below
$603 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$523 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,334 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,408 Vol.
10%
33°C
$3,577 Vol.
55%
34°C
$2,759 Vol.
27%
35°C
$1,472 Vol.
1%
36°C
$703 Vol.
1%
37°C
$457 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,660 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions over coastal Sindh, including increased cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers, are the main driver capping Karachi’s daytime heating on August 8, 2026. Pakistan Meteorological Department and international model guidance indicate maximum temperatures near 30–33 °C, consistent with the August climatological average of 31–32 °C and recent below-normal readings. These factors position 33 °C as the market favorite at 56.5 % implied probability, followed by 34 °C at 20.5 %, while suppressing chances of extremes above 35 °C or below 31 °C. Updated model runs and any additional rainfall today could further refine the final observed high before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$14,978End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active monsoon conditions over coastal Sindh, including increased cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers, are the main driver capping Karachi’s daytime heating on August 8, 2026. Pakistan Meteorological Department and international model guidance indicate maximum temperatures near 30–33 °C, consistent with the August climatological average of 31–32 °C and recent below-normal readings. These factors position 33 °C as the market favorite at 56.5 % implied probability, followed by 34 °C at 20.5 %, while suppressing chances of extremes above 35 °C or below 31 °C. Updated model runs and any additional rainfall today could further refine the final observed high before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,978End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active monsoon conditions over coastal Sindh, including increased cloud cover, elevated humidity, and scattered showers, are the main driver capping Karachi’s daytime heating on August 8, 2026. Pakistan Meteorological Department and international model guidance indicate maximum temperatures near 30–33 °C, consistent with the August climatological average of 31–32 °C and recent below-normal readings. These factors position 33 °C as the market favorite at 56.5 % implied probability, followed by 34 °C at 20.5 %, while suppressing chances of extremes above 35 °C or below 31 °C. Updated model runs and any additional rainfall today could further refine the final observed high before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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