**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's highest temperature on August 8, 2026, centers on 16–18°C, reflecting official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models pointing to a cool winter day with light rain or showers.** August marks mid-winter in the Southern Hemisphere, where Cape Town’s climatological average daytime maximum is 17°C, driven by the Benguela Current’s cooling influence and frequent westerly frontal systems. Recent synoptic developments include a cut-off low and cold front passage, which have suppressed daytime heating through increased cloud cover, light precipitation, and onshore flow. These conditions align with model consensus showing maxima near 16–17°C, occasionally reaching 18°C if breaks in cloud occur, while limiting upside potential above 19°C. The market’s heavy weighting on 17°C (46.5%) followed by 18°C and 16°C mirrors this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers because historical analogs and current steering patterns rarely produce significant deviations on such days. Upcoming SAWS updates or refined model runs could shift odds if the front weakens faster than expected, but the current setup favors a narrow range around the seasonal norm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 8?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 8?
17°C 45%
18°C 25%
16°C 23%
19°C 6%
$12,820 Vol.
$12,820 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
5%
16°C
23%
17°C
45%
18°C
25%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 45%
18°C 25%
16°C 23%
19°C 6%
$12,820 Vol.
$12,820 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
11°C or below
$56 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$220 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,505 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$787 Vol.
1%
15°C
$807 Vol.
5%
16°C
$1,963 Vol.
23%
17°C
$3,159 Vol.
45%
18°C
$1,092 Vol.
25%
19°C
$1,210 Vol.
6%
20°C
$1,096 Vol.
1%
21°C or higher
$932 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's highest temperature on August 8, 2026, centers on 16–18°C, reflecting official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models pointing to a cool winter day with light rain or showers.**
August marks mid-winter in the Southern Hemisphere, where Cape Town’s climatological average daytime maximum is 17°C, driven by the Benguela Current’s cooling influence and frequent westerly frontal systems. Recent synoptic developments include a cut-off low and cold front passage, which have suppressed daytime heating through increased cloud cover, light precipitation, and onshore flow. These conditions align with model consensus showing maxima near 16–17°C, occasionally reaching 18°C if breaks in cloud occur, while limiting upside potential above 19°C.
The market’s heavy weighting on 17°C (46.5%) followed by 18°C and 16°C mirrors this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers because historical analogs and current steering patterns rarely produce significant deviations on such days. Upcoming SAWS updates or refined model runs could shift odds if the front weakens faster than expected, but the current setup favors a narrow range around the seasonal norm.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$12,820End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's highest temperature on August 8, 2026, centers on 16–18°C, reflecting official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models pointing to a cool winter day with light rain or showers.**
August marks mid-winter in the Southern Hemisphere, where Cape Town’s climatological average daytime maximum is 17°C, driven by the Benguela Current’s cooling influence and frequent westerly frontal systems. Recent synoptic developments include a cut-off low and cold front passage, which have suppressed daytime heating through increased cloud cover, light precipitation, and onshore flow. These conditions align with model consensus showing maxima near 16–17°C, occasionally reaching 18°C if breaks in cloud occur, while limiting upside potential above 19°C.
The market’s heavy weighting on 17°C (46.5%) followed by 18°C and 16°C mirrors this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers because historical analogs and current steering patterns rarely produce significant deviations on such days. Upcoming SAWS updates or refined model runs could shift odds if the front weakens faster than expected, but the current setup favors a narrow range around the seasonal norm.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,820End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Cape Town's highest temperature on August 8, 2026, centers on 16–18°C, reflecting official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models pointing to a cool winter day with light rain or showers.** August marks mid-winter in the Southern Hemisphere, where Cape Town’s climatological average daytime maximum is 17°C, driven by the Benguela Current’s cooling influence and frequent westerly frontal systems. Recent synoptic developments include a cut-off low and cold front passage, which have suppressed daytime heating through increased cloud cover, light precipitation, and onshore flow. These conditions align with model consensus showing maxima near 16–17°C, occasionally reaching 18°C if breaks in cloud occur, while limiting upside potential above 19°C. The market’s heavy weighting on 17°C (46.5%) followed by 18°C and 16°C mirrors this consensus, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers because historical analogs and current steering patterns rarely produce significant deviations on such days. Upcoming SAWS updates or refined model runs could shift odds if the front weakens faster than expected, but the current setup favors a narrow range around the seasonal norm.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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