Trader consensus on the Amsterdam temperature market reflects latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national model runs clustering the daily maximum at 25–26°C under persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and partly cloudy conditions following recent heat. These factors limit convective cooling and allow modest afternoon warming, with subtle differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, or sea-breeze influence determining whether the peak reaches exactly 25°C or edges to 26°C. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, yet current synoptic setup supports the elevated range; fresh model updates and observational data through the afternoon will refine the final reading before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 8?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 8?
25°C 50%
26°C 38%
24°C 13%
27°C 1.4%
$17,975 Vol.
$17,975 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
13%
25°C
50%
26°C
38%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 50%
26°C 38%
24°C 13%
27°C 1.4%
$17,975 Vol.
$17,975 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
21°C or below
$388 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$810 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$886 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,747 Vol.
13%
25°C
$3,260 Vol.
50%
26°C
$4,121 Vol.
38%
27°C
$2,071 Vol.
1%
28°C
$748 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$938 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$708 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$299 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Amsterdam temperature market reflects latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national model runs clustering the daily maximum at 25–26°C under persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and partly cloudy conditions following recent heat. These factors limit convective cooling and allow modest afternoon warming, with subtle differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, or sea-breeze influence determining whether the peak reaches exactly 25°C or edges to 26°C. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, yet current synoptic setup supports the elevated range; fresh model updates and observational data through the afternoon will refine the final reading before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$17,975End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the Amsterdam temperature market reflects latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national model runs clustering the daily maximum at 25–26°C under persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and partly cloudy conditions following recent heat. These factors limit convective cooling and allow modest afternoon warming, with subtle differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, or sea-breeze influence determining whether the peak reaches exactly 25°C or edges to 26°C. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, yet current synoptic setup supports the elevated range; fresh model updates and observational data through the afternoon will refine the final reading before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,975End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Amsterdam temperature market reflects latest European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national model runs clustering the daily maximum at 25–26°C under persistent high pressure, light variable winds, and partly cloudy conditions following recent heat. These factors limit convective cooling and allow modest afternoon warming, with subtle differences in cloud cover timing, boundary-layer mixing, or sea-breeze influence determining whether the peak reaches exactly 25°C or edges to 26°C. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, yet current synoptic setup supports the elevated range; fresh model updates and observational data through the afternoon will refine the final reading before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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