**Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime maximum near 29–30°C in Chongqing on August 8, 2026, anchoring the market’s strong consensus on those brackets (combined implied probability over 80%).** This outlook deviates from long-term August climatology, which typically features highs of 33–35°C in the city’s humid subtropical basin setting. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and possible scattered showers or a passing frontal boundary appear to be limiting daytime heating and radiative warming. Recent days have already shown cooler-than-average readings (for example, 24°C on August 3), consistent with this broader pattern of suppressed maxima. Model consensus and official guidance issued on August 7 further reinforce the 29–30°C range as the most probable outcome, with only modest upside risk to 31°C or higher under clearer conditions. Traders are therefore pricing in the current synoptic setup and short-term observational trends rather than seasonal normals, producing the observed concentration of probability at the lower end of the distribution. Updated forecasts or real-time observations on the day itself remain the key variables that could shift resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 8?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 8?
29°C 56.2%
30°C 36%
31°C 9%
33°C 6%
$37,231 Vol.
$37,231 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
56%
30°C
29%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 56.2%
30°C 36%
31°C 9%
33°C 6%
$37,231 Vol.
$37,231 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
26°C or below
$2,733 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,876 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,420 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,552 Vol.
56%
30°C
$1,802 Vol.
29%
31°C
$1,825 Vol.
9%
32°C
$5,983 Vol.
2%
33°C
$2,301 Vol.
6%
34°C
$4,837 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$4,524 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,379 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime maximum near 29–30°C in Chongqing on August 8, 2026, anchoring the market’s strong consensus on those brackets (combined implied probability over 80%).**
This outlook deviates from long-term August climatology, which typically features highs of 33–35°C in the city’s humid subtropical basin setting. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and possible scattered showers or a passing frontal boundary appear to be limiting daytime heating and radiative warming. Recent days have already shown cooler-than-average readings (for example, 24°C on August 3), consistent with this broader pattern of suppressed maxima.
Model consensus and official guidance issued on August 7 further reinforce the 29–30°C range as the most probable outcome, with only modest upside risk to 31°C or higher under clearer conditions. Traders are therefore pricing in the current synoptic setup and short-term observational trends rather than seasonal normals, producing the observed concentration of probability at the lower end of the distribution. Updated forecasts or real-time observations on the day itself remain the key variables that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$37,231End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime maximum near 29–30°C in Chongqing on August 8, 2026, anchoring the market’s strong consensus on those brackets (combined implied probability over 80%).**
This outlook deviates from long-term August climatology, which typically features highs of 33–35°C in the city’s humid subtropical basin setting. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and possible scattered showers or a passing frontal boundary appear to be limiting daytime heating and radiative warming. Recent days have already shown cooler-than-average readings (for example, 24°C on August 3), consistent with this broader pattern of suppressed maxima.
Model consensus and official guidance issued on August 7 further reinforce the 29–30°C range as the most probable outcome, with only modest upside risk to 31°C or higher under clearer conditions. Traders are therefore pricing in the current synoptic setup and short-term observational trends rather than seasonal normals, producing the observed concentration of probability at the lower end of the distribution. Updated forecasts or real-time observations on the day itself remain the key variables that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$37,231End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration point to a daytime maximum near 29–30°C in Chongqing on August 8, 2026, anchoring the market’s strong consensus on those brackets (combined implied probability over 80%).** This outlook deviates from long-term August climatology, which typically features highs of 33–35°C in the city’s humid subtropical basin setting. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and possible scattered showers or a passing frontal boundary appear to be limiting daytime heating and radiative warming. Recent days have already shown cooler-than-average readings (for example, 24°C on August 3), consistent with this broader pattern of suppressed maxima. Model consensus and official guidance issued on August 7 further reinforce the 29–30°C range as the most probable outcome, with only modest upside risk to 31°C or higher under clearer conditions. Traders are therefore pricing in the current synoptic setup and short-term observational trends rather than seasonal normals, producing the observed concentration of probability at the lower end of the distribution. Updated forecasts or real-time observations on the day itself remain the key variables that could shift resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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