Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows Austin under a lingering heat dome with daytime highs expected near 97–100°F on August 8, consistent with the month’s 98°F climatological average. Model ensembles indicate limited steering flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures, keeping the most likely outcome in the upper 90s. The 98–99°F bin leads at 57% because it matches both historical norms and the latest forecast consensus, while the smaller 100–101°F probability reflects residual uncertainty in ridge strength and any late-day mixing that could add a degree or two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 8?
98-99°F 56%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 2%
$11,178 Vol.
$11,178 Vol.
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 56%
96-97°F 28%
100-101°F 11%
94-95°F 2%
$11,178 Vol.
$11,178 Vol.
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
28%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance shows Austin under a lingering heat dome with daytime highs expected near 97–100°F on August 8, consistent with the month’s 98°F climatological average. Model ensembles indicate limited steering flow and minimal cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures, keeping the most likely outcome in the upper 90s. The 98–99°F bin leads at 57% because it matches both historical norms and the latest forecast consensus, while the smaller 100–101°F probability reflects residual uncertainty in ridge strength and any late-day mixing that could add a degree or two.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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