Official NOAA and Houston-area weather station observations for August 7, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 92–93 °F, aligning precisely with the sole outcome carrying 100 % market-implied probability. This result reflects the consensus of calibrated surface-air temperature measurements from primary reporting sites, consistent with regional August climatology under typical subtropical high-pressure conditions. Minor alternatives remain at 0.1 % because post-observation quality-control checks or station-specific adjustments could theoretically shift the final certified value, though historical revision rates for such data are negligible once initial reports are validated. No additional forecast updates or model runs will alter the outcome now that the observation window has closed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 7?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 7?
92-93°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$27,033 Vol.
$27,033 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$27,033 Vol.
$27,033 Vol.
Aug 7, 2026
85°F or below
$661 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$1,517 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$3,022 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,671 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$6,349 Vol.
100%
94-95°F
$5,062 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,116 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$2,048 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$1,207 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$966 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$413 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NOAA and Houston-area weather station observations for August 7, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 92–93 °F, aligning precisely with the sole outcome carrying 100 % market-implied probability. This result reflects the consensus of calibrated surface-air temperature measurements from primary reporting sites, consistent with regional August climatology under typical subtropical high-pressure conditions. Minor alternatives remain at 0.1 % because post-observation quality-control checks or station-specific adjustments could theoretically shift the final certified value, though historical revision rates for such data are negligible once initial reports are validated. No additional forecast updates or model runs will alter the outcome now that the observation window has closed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$27,033End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NOAA and Houston-area weather station observations for August 7, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 92–93 °F, aligning precisely with the sole outcome carrying 100 % market-implied probability. This result reflects the consensus of calibrated surface-air temperature measurements from primary reporting sites, consistent with regional August climatology under typical subtropical high-pressure conditions. Minor alternatives remain at 0.1 % because post-observation quality-control checks or station-specific adjustments could theoretically shift the final certified value, though historical revision rates for such data are negligible once initial reports are validated. No additional forecast updates or model runs will alter the outcome now that the observation window has closed.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,033End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official NOAA and Houston-area weather station observations for August 7, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 92–93 °F, aligning precisely with the sole outcome carrying 100 % market-implied probability. This result reflects the consensus of calibrated surface-air temperature measurements from primary reporting sites, consistent with regional August climatology under typical subtropical high-pressure conditions. Minor alternatives remain at 0.1 % because post-observation quality-control checks or station-specific adjustments could theoretically shift the final certified value, though historical revision rates for such data are negligible once initial reports are validated. No additional forecast updates or model runs will alter the outcome now that the observation window has closed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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