Persistent heatwave conditions over the Korean Peninsula, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover, position 34°C as the leading outcome for Incheon’s daily maximum on August 9. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded 34°C at Incheon on August 5 amid national extremes exceeding 39°C, while AccuWeather and short-range forecasts indicate highs stabilizing near 33–35°C for the target date, consistent with typical late-summer patterns and urban heat-island effects around Seoul. Trader consensus, reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 34°C versus 24% for 33°C and 22.5% for 35°C, incorporates uncertainty from potential model shifts in steering flows or localized sea-breeze influences that could alter peak readings before official resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 9?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 9?
34°C 43%
33°C 25%
35°C 23%
32°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
25%
34°C
43%
35°C
23%
36°C
5%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 25%
35°C 23%
32°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 9, 2026
29°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$388 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$481 Vol.
2%
32°C
$427 Vol.
6%
33°C
$1,737 Vol.
25%
34°C
$1,908 Vol.
43%
35°C
$826 Vol.
23%
36°C
$1,417 Vol.
5%
37°C
$470 Vol.
2%
38°C
$673 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$598 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions over the Korean Peninsula, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover, position 34°C as the leading outcome for Incheon’s daily maximum on August 9. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded 34°C at Incheon on August 5 amid national extremes exceeding 39°C, while AccuWeather and short-range forecasts indicate highs stabilizing near 33–35°C for the target date, consistent with typical late-summer patterns and urban heat-island effects around Seoul. Trader consensus, reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 34°C versus 24% for 33°C and 22.5% for 35°C, incorporates uncertainty from potential model shifts in steering flows or localized sea-breeze influences that could alter peak readings before official resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$9,290End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions over the Korean Peninsula, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover, position 34°C as the leading outcome for Incheon’s daily maximum on August 9. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded 34°C at Incheon on August 5 amid national extremes exceeding 39°C, while AccuWeather and short-range forecasts indicate highs stabilizing near 33–35°C for the target date, consistent with typical late-summer patterns and urban heat-island effects around Seoul. Trader consensus, reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 34°C versus 24% for 33°C and 22.5% for 35°C, incorporates uncertainty from potential model shifts in steering flows or localized sea-breeze influences that could alter peak readings before official resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,290End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heatwave conditions over the Korean Peninsula, fueled by a strong subtropical high-pressure system promoting clear skies, subsidence warming, and minimal cloud cover, position 34°C as the leading outcome for Incheon’s daily maximum on August 9. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded 34°C at Incheon on August 5 amid national extremes exceeding 39°C, while AccuWeather and short-range forecasts indicate highs stabilizing near 33–35°C for the target date, consistent with typical late-summer patterns and urban heat-island effects around Seoul. Trader consensus, reflected in the 42.5% implied probability for 34°C versus 24% for 33°C and 22.5% for 35°C, incorporates uncertainty from potential model shifts in steering flows or localized sea-breeze influences that could alter peak readings before official resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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