Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a strong marine layer influence along the Los Angeles coast, with persistent onshore flow and stratus limiting daytime heating at the KLAX resolution station despite broader regional heat. This setup has kept recent daily maxima near or below seasonal normals of 76°F, positioning the 78–79°F bin as the clear market leader at 69.5% implied probability. Forecasters note only modest warming potential today under partly sunny skies and a heat advisory, with limited offshore wind or subsidence to push readings into the low 80s. Updated short-range guidance expected this afternoon will clarify whether any late-day clearing allows brief spikes, though historical analogs and current dewpoint patterns support the tight clustering around 78–79°F.