Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecast a high near 98–100°F for Denver on August 8, driven by residual warmth following early-month record highs and a hot July that ranked as the city’s second-warmest on record. Weakening high pressure, limited moisture for afternoon convection, and typical Front Range downslope warming support these values against a normal high of 89°F. Traders assign nearly 87% combined probability to the 98–101°F bins because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation risk, with only modest cooling expected from scattered storms. Updated short-range runs and any heat-advisory adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 8?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 8?
100-101°F 49%
98-99°F 38%
102-103°F 9%
96-97°F 6%
NEW
$10,734 Vol.
NEW
$10,734 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
49%
102-103°F
9%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 49%
98-99°F 38%
102-103°F 9%
96-97°F 6%
NEW
$10,734 Vol.
NEW
$10,734 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
89°F or below
$371 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$1,344 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$589 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$836 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$833 Vol.
6%
98-99°F
$1,002 Vol.
38%
100-101°F
$1,598 Vol.
49%
102-103°F
$1,806 Vol.
9%
104-105°F
$1,215 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$488 Vol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$653 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecast a high near 98–100°F for Denver on August 8, driven by residual warmth following early-month record highs and a hot July that ranked as the city’s second-warmest on record. Weakening high pressure, limited moisture for afternoon convection, and typical Front Range downslope warming support these values against a normal high of 89°F. Traders assign nearly 87% combined probability to the 98–101°F bins because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation risk, with only modest cooling expected from scattered storms. Updated short-range runs and any heat-advisory adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$10,734End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecast a high near 98–100°F for Denver on August 8, driven by residual warmth following early-month record highs and a hot July that ranked as the city’s second-warmest on record. Weakening high pressure, limited moisture for afternoon convection, and typical Front Range downslope warming support these values against a normal high of 89°F. Traders assign nearly 87% combined probability to the 98–101°F bins because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation risk, with only modest cooling expected from scattered storms. Updated short-range runs and any heat-advisory adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,734End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model consensus forecast a high near 98–100°F for Denver on August 8, driven by residual warmth following early-month record highs and a hot July that ranked as the city’s second-warmest on record. Weakening high pressure, limited moisture for afternoon convection, and typical Front Range downslope warming support these values against a normal high of 89°F. Traders assign nearly 87% combined probability to the 98–101°F bins because ensemble guidance shows minimal deviation risk, with only modest cooling expected from scattered storms. Updated short-range runs and any heat-advisory adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions