Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Ankara on August 8 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light winds, aligning with the market's strong preference for these outcomes. This reflects typical early-August climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 31°C, though recent model runs have shown slightly elevated readings due to minimal cloud cover and daytime heating. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in guidance and low precipitation probability, while acknowledging potential variance from exact timing of the peak or localized urban effects. Final official observations will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 8?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 8?
33°C 73%
34°C 19%
32°C 9%
31°C 1.4%
$18,578 Vol.
$18,578 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
9%
33°C
73%
34°C
19%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 73%
34°C 19%
32°C 9%
31°C 1.4%
$18,578 Vol.
$18,578 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
30°C or below
$1,099 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,160 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,646 Vol.
9%
33°C
$3,799 Vol.
73%
34°C
$4,529 Vol.
19%
35°C
$1,150 Vol.
1%
36°C
$694 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$959 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$680 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$519 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Ankara on August 8 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light winds, aligning with the market's strong preference for these outcomes. This reflects typical early-August climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 31°C, though recent model runs have shown slightly elevated readings due to minimal cloud cover and daytime heating. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in guidance and low precipitation probability, while acknowledging potential variance from exact timing of the peak or localized urban effects. Final official observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$18,578End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Ankara on August 8 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light winds, aligning with the market's strong preference for these outcomes. This reflects typical early-August climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 31°C, though recent model runs have shown slightly elevated readings due to minimal cloud cover and daytime heating. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in guidance and low precipitation probability, while acknowledging potential variance from exact timing of the peak or localized urban effects. Final official observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,578End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum of 33–34°C in Ankara on August 8 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light winds, aligning with the market's strong preference for these outcomes. This reflects typical early-August climatology, where the long-term average high sits near 31°C, though recent model runs have shown slightly elevated readings due to minimal cloud cover and daytime heating. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in guidance and low precipitation probability, while acknowledging potential variance from exact timing of the peak or localized urban effects. Final official observations will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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