Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak of 38°C (45%) or 39°C and above (30.5%) for Jeddah on August 8, reflecting official forecast consensus around 35–38°C highs amid typical midsummer conditions. August climatology for the Red Sea coastal city features average daily maxima near 37–38°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with minimal rainfall and high humidity that can elevate perceived heat. Recent model guidance from sources such as the Saudi Meteorological Authority and global ensembles shows stable steering patterns and light northerly winds, limiting extreme outliers while supporting readings in the upper 30s. Short-term variability from afternoon sea breezes or thin cloud cover remains the key uncertainty that could nudge the official maximum one degree either side of 38°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 8?
38°C 37%
39°C or higher 24%
37°C 23%
36°C 10%
$21,102 Vol.
$21,102 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
10%
37°C
28%
38°C
37%
39°C or higher
33%
38°C 37%
39°C or higher 24%
37°C 23%
36°C 10%
$21,102 Vol.
$21,102 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
10%
37°C
28%
38°C
37%
39°C or higher
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak of 38°C (45%) or 39°C and above (30.5%) for Jeddah on August 8, reflecting official forecast consensus around 35–38°C highs amid typical midsummer conditions. August climatology for the Red Sea coastal city features average daily maxima near 37–38°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with minimal rainfall and high humidity that can elevate perceived heat. Recent model guidance from sources such as the Saudi Meteorological Authority and global ensembles shows stable steering patterns and light northerly winds, limiting extreme outliers while supporting readings in the upper 30s. Short-term variability from afternoon sea breezes or thin cloud cover remains the key uncertainty that could nudge the official maximum one degree either side of 38°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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