Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining hot conditions across Central Texas, with Austin forecast highs centered near 97–99°F for August 10 amid typical August climatology of 96–98°F. Persistent southerly flow advects Gulf moisture, raising humidity and limiting daytime heating through scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the mid-90s or allow clearer skies to push readings into the upper 90s. Model consensus shows low thunderstorm chances that may produce variable cloud cover, while soil moisture from recent rains slightly tempers extremes. Traders weigh these factors against historical August peaks near 99°F, producing tight odds between 96–99°F bins as resolution hinges on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing on the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 10?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 10?
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 35%
100-101°F 13%
102-103°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
45%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
13%
102-103°F
12%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
1%
96-97°F 37%
98-99°F 35%
100-101°F 13%
102-103°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
87°F or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$12 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$32 Vol.
8%
92-93°F
$6 Vol.
4%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
11%
96-97°F
$79 Vol.
45%
98-99°F
$20 Vol.
35%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
13%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
12%
104-105°F
$32 Vol.
2%
106°F or higher
$32 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining hot conditions across Central Texas, with Austin forecast highs centered near 97–99°F for August 10 amid typical August climatology of 96–98°F. Persistent southerly flow advects Gulf moisture, raising humidity and limiting daytime heating through scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the mid-90s or allow clearer skies to push readings into the upper 90s. Model consensus shows low thunderstorm chances that may produce variable cloud cover, while soil moisture from recent rains slightly tempers extremes. Traders weigh these factors against historical August peaks near 99°F, producing tight odds between 96–99°F bins as resolution hinges on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing on the day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$226End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining hot conditions across Central Texas, with Austin forecast highs centered near 97–99°F for August 10 amid typical August climatology of 96–98°F. Persistent southerly flow advects Gulf moisture, raising humidity and limiting daytime heating through scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the mid-90s or allow clearer skies to push readings into the upper 90s. Model consensus shows low thunderstorm chances that may produce variable cloud cover, while soil moisture from recent rains slightly tempers extremes. Traders weigh these factors against historical August peaks near 99°F, producing tight odds between 96–99°F bins as resolution hinges on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing on the day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$226End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining hot conditions across Central Texas, with Austin forecast highs centered near 97–99°F for August 10 amid typical August climatology of 96–98°F. Persistent southerly flow advects Gulf moisture, raising humidity and limiting daytime heating through scattered afternoon convection that could cap temperatures in the mid-90s or allow clearer skies to push readings into the upper 90s. Model consensus shows low thunderstorm chances that may produce variable cloud cover, while soil moisture from recent rains slightly tempers extremes. Traders weigh these factors against historical August peaks near 99°F, producing tight odds between 96–99°F bins as resolution hinges on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing on the day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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