Latest NWS and model guidance for August 10 favors a mostly sunny day with southwest flow and highs centered in the low 90s across the NYC metro, consistent with the market’s near-even split between 90–91°F and 92–93°F. Daytime maximums hinge on insolation under the ridge, boundary-layer mixing depth, and dew-point advection near 70°F that limits evaporative cooling. Minor differences in forecast cloud cover, timing of any weak sea-breeze convergence, or ensemble spread in 850-hPa temperatures separate the two leading bins; a slightly drier or more mixing-favorable profile supports 92–93°F, while lingering moisture or earlier convection caps readings at 90–91°F. Traders weigh these variables against Central Park climatology and recent warm analogs, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the primary station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 10?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 10?
92-93°F 42%
90-91°F 38%
94-95°F 18%
88-89°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
15%
90-91°F
34%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
18%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 42%
90-91°F 38%
94-95°F 18%
88-89°F 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
85°F or below
$35 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$51 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$52 Vol.
15%
90-91°F
$76 Vol.
34%
92-93°F
$85 Vol.
42%
94-95°F
$52 Vol.
18%
96-97°F
$51 Vol.
5%
98-99°F
$87 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$35 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$45 Vol.
1%
104°F or higher
$36 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest NWS and model guidance for August 10 favors a mostly sunny day with southwest flow and highs centered in the low 90s across the NYC metro, consistent with the market’s near-even split between 90–91°F and 92–93°F. Daytime maximums hinge on insolation under the ridge, boundary-layer mixing depth, and dew-point advection near 70°F that limits evaporative cooling. Minor differences in forecast cloud cover, timing of any weak sea-breeze convergence, or ensemble spread in 850-hPa temperatures separate the two leading bins; a slightly drier or more mixing-favorable profile supports 92–93°F, while lingering moisture or earlier convection caps readings at 90–91°F. Traders weigh these variables against Central Park climatology and recent warm analogs, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the primary station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$605End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest NWS and model guidance for August 10 favors a mostly sunny day with southwest flow and highs centered in the low 90s across the NYC metro, consistent with the market’s near-even split between 90–91°F and 92–93°F. Daytime maximums hinge on insolation under the ridge, boundary-layer mixing depth, and dew-point advection near 70°F that limits evaporative cooling. Minor differences in forecast cloud cover, timing of any weak sea-breeze convergence, or ensemble spread in 850-hPa temperatures separate the two leading bins; a slightly drier or more mixing-favorable profile supports 92–93°F, while lingering moisture or earlier convection caps readings at 90–91°F. Traders weigh these variables against Central Park climatology and recent warm analogs, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the primary station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$605End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NWS and model guidance for August 10 favors a mostly sunny day with southwest flow and highs centered in the low 90s across the NYC metro, consistent with the market’s near-even split between 90–91°F and 92–93°F. Daytime maximums hinge on insolation under the ridge, boundary-layer mixing depth, and dew-point advection near 70°F that limits evaporative cooling. Minor differences in forecast cloud cover, timing of any weak sea-breeze convergence, or ensemble spread in 850-hPa temperatures separate the two leading bins; a slightly drier or more mixing-favorable profile supports 92–93°F, while lingering moisture or earlier convection caps readings at 90–91°F. Traders weigh these variables against Central Park climatology and recent warm analogs, with resolution hinging on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the primary station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions