Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models project a Miami high near 90–92°F on August 10 under typical mid-August subtropical high pressure, favoring the market’s leading 92–93°F bin. Persistent easterly flow off the Atlantic, minimal organized convection early in the day, and above-average mid-level warmth support readings slightly above the 88–90°F climatological normal, while afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms may cap further warming. With no tropical cyclones in the basin per the National Hurricane Center and stable model consensus through the 48-hour window, traders have priced modest upside risk into the 94–95°F outcome but assigned low probability to extremes. Updated short-range forecasts expected today will refine these implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 10?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 10?
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 21%
94-95°F 19%
88-89°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
3%
100°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 21%
94-95°F 19%
88-89°F 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
81°F or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$12 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$12 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$27 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$28 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$141 Vol.
21%
92-93°F
$175 Vol.
55%
94-95°F
$45 Vol.
19%
96-97°F
$115 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$5 Vol.
3%
100°F or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models project a Miami high near 90–92°F on August 10 under typical mid-August subtropical high pressure, favoring the market’s leading 92–93°F bin. Persistent easterly flow off the Atlantic, minimal organized convection early in the day, and above-average mid-level warmth support readings slightly above the 88–90°F climatological normal, while afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms may cap further warming. With no tropical cyclones in the basin per the National Hurricane Center and stable model consensus through the 48-hour window, traders have priced modest upside risk into the 94–95°F outcome but assigned low probability to extremes. Updated short-range forecasts expected today will refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volume
$580End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models project a Miami high near 90–92°F on August 10 under typical mid-August subtropical high pressure, favoring the market’s leading 92–93°F bin. Persistent easterly flow off the Atlantic, minimal organized convection early in the day, and above-average mid-level warmth support readings slightly above the 88–90°F climatological normal, while afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms may cap further warming. With no tropical cyclones in the basin per the National Hurricane Center and stable model consensus through the 48-hour window, traders have priced modest upside risk into the 94–95°F outcome but assigned low probability to extremes. Updated short-range forecasts expected today will refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$580End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models project a Miami high near 90–92°F on August 10 under typical mid-August subtropical high pressure, favoring the market’s leading 92–93°F bin. Persistent easterly flow off the Atlantic, minimal organized convection early in the day, and above-average mid-level warmth support readings slightly above the 88–90°F climatological normal, while afternoon sea-breeze convergence and isolated thunderstorms may cap further warming. With no tropical cyclones in the basin per the National Hurricane Center and stable model consensus through the 48-hour window, traders have priced modest upside risk into the 94–95°F outcome but assigned low probability to extremes. Updated short-range forecasts expected today will refine these implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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