Official National Weather Service and private forecasts for Dallas on August 10 indicate highs near 97–101°F under seasonably hot summer conditions with southwesterly flow and modest moisture. Afternoon thunderstorm chances around 20% introduce the main uncertainty, as early or widespread convection can cap peak temperatures by limiting insolation and increasing evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 98–102°F, consistent with Dallas’s August climatology of upper-90s to low-100s highs and typical variability from boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Traders price the narrow spread among 98–99°F, 100–101°F, and 102–103°F bins to reflect this modest forecast dispersion rather than any extreme outlier.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 10?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 10?
100-101°F 51%
98-99°F 37%
102-103°F 17%
96-97°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
93°F or below
1%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
26%
100-101°F
51%
102-103°F
17%
104-105°F
11%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 51%
98-99°F 37%
102-103°F 17%
96-97°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
93°F or below
$10 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$30 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
11%
98-99°F
$10 Vol.
26%
100-101°F
$84 Vol.
51%
102-103°F
$0 Vol.
17%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
11%
106-107°F
$5 Vol.
4%
108-109°F
$12 Vol.
4%
110-111°F
$12 Vol.
1%
112°F or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and private forecasts for Dallas on August 10 indicate highs near 97–101°F under seasonably hot summer conditions with southwesterly flow and modest moisture. Afternoon thunderstorm chances around 20% introduce the main uncertainty, as early or widespread convection can cap peak temperatures by limiting insolation and increasing evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 98–102°F, consistent with Dallas’s August climatology of upper-90s to low-100s highs and typical variability from boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Traders price the narrow spread among 98–99°F, 100–101°F, and 102–103°F bins to reflect this modest forecast dispersion rather than any extreme outlier.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$91End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and private forecasts for Dallas on August 10 indicate highs near 97–101°F under seasonably hot summer conditions with southwesterly flow and modest moisture. Afternoon thunderstorm chances around 20% introduce the main uncertainty, as early or widespread convection can cap peak temperatures by limiting insolation and increasing evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 98–102°F, consistent with Dallas’s August climatology of upper-90s to low-100s highs and typical variability from boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Traders price the narrow spread among 98–99°F, 100–101°F, and 102–103°F bins to reflect this modest forecast dispersion rather than any extreme outlier.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$91End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and private forecasts for Dallas on August 10 indicate highs near 97–101°F under seasonably hot summer conditions with southwesterly flow and modest moisture. Afternoon thunderstorm chances around 20% introduce the main uncertainty, as early or widespread convection can cap peak temperatures by limiting insolation and increasing evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 98–102°F, consistent with Dallas’s August climatology of upper-90s to low-100s highs and typical variability from boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover. Traders price the narrow spread among 98–99°F, 100–101°F, and 102–103°F bins to reflect this modest forecast dispersion rather than any extreme outlier.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions