Recent National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles stations, including LAX, project a Monday high near 76°F under persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow. This pattern, reinforced by sea breezes and a stable inversion, limits daytime heating despite broader regional warmth, producing the market's strong consensus around 78-79°F. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread for the date, with historical August coastal averages near 75-78°F providing context for the implied probabilities. Inland or valley sites may run several degrees warmer, but resolution criteria tied to official monitoring stations favor the cooler outcome. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the latest model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 10?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 10?
78-79°F 51%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 14%
84-85°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
51%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 51%
76-77°F 30%
80-81°F 14%
84-85°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
71°F or below
$78 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$12 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$109 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$200 Vol.
30%
78-79°F
$370 Vol.
51%
80-81°F
$134 Vol.
14%
82-83°F
$78 Vol.
4%
84-85°F
$12 Vol.
7%
86-87°F
$78 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$78 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$78 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles stations, including LAX, project a Monday high near 76°F under persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow. This pattern, reinforced by sea breezes and a stable inversion, limits daytime heating despite broader regional warmth, producing the market's strong consensus around 78-79°F. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread for the date, with historical August coastal averages near 75-78°F providing context for the implied probabilities. Inland or valley sites may run several degrees warmer, but resolution criteria tied to official monitoring stations favor the cooler outcome. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,227End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles stations, including LAX, project a Monday high near 76°F under persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow. This pattern, reinforced by sea breezes and a stable inversion, limits daytime heating despite broader regional warmth, producing the market's strong consensus around 78-79°F. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread for the date, with historical August coastal averages near 75-78°F providing context for the implied probabilities. Inland or valley sites may run several degrees warmer, but resolution criteria tied to official monitoring stations favor the cooler outcome. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the latest model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,227End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for coastal Los Angeles stations, including LAX, project a Monday high near 76°F under persistent marine layer influence and onshore flow. This pattern, reinforced by sea breezes and a stable inversion, limits daytime heating despite broader regional warmth, producing the market's strong consensus around 78-79°F. Ensemble guidance shows minimal model spread for the date, with historical August coastal averages near 75-78°F providing context for the implied probabilities. Inland or valley sites may run several degrees warmer, but resolution criteria tied to official monitoring stations favor the cooler outcome. No major forecast shifts have occurred in the latest model runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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