Latest numerical weather prediction models from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10 most likely between 11–13 °C, with 12 °C as the current mode. This clustering reflects a stable winter high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming while allowing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain modest because cold-air advection from the south has eased and no significant frontal passage is expected overnight. Official resolution will rely on the highest hourly reading at the designated station, typically Aeroparque; any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind could nudge the outcome between the tightly bunched 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C contracts that together exceed 70 % implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10?
13°C 47%
12°C 36%
11°C 13%
14°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
13%
12°C
36%
13°C
47%
14°C
6%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 47%
12°C 36%
11°C 13%
14°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
7°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$12 Vol.
1%
9°C
$12 Vol.
1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
5%
11°C
$69 Vol.
13%
12°C
$39 Vol.
36%
13°C
$14 Vol.
47%
14°C
$0 Vol.
6%
15°C
$29 Vol.
2%
16°C
$12 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10 most likely between 11–13 °C, with 12 °C as the current mode. This clustering reflects a stable winter high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming while allowing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain modest because cold-air advection from the south has eased and no significant frontal passage is expected overnight. Official resolution will rely on the highest hourly reading at the designated station, typically Aeroparque; any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind could nudge the outcome between the tightly bunched 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C contracts that together exceed 70 % implied probability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$208End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10 most likely between 11–13 °C, with 12 °C as the current mode. This clustering reflects a stable winter high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming while allowing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain modest because cold-air advection from the south has eased and no significant frontal passage is expected overnight. Official resolution will rely on the highest hourly reading at the designated station, typically Aeroparque; any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind could nudge the outcome between the tightly bunched 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C contracts that together exceed 70 % implied probability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$208End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from global ensembles and Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a maximum temperature in Buenos Aires on August 10 most likely between 11–13 °C, with 12 °C as the current mode. This clustering reflects a stable winter high-pressure ridge suppressing stronger warming while allowing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads remain modest because cold-air advection from the south has eased and no significant frontal passage is expected overnight. Official resolution will rely on the highest hourly reading at the designated station, typically Aeroparque; any late-model shift in cloud cover or wind could nudge the outcome between the tightly bunched 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C contracts that together exceed 70 % implied probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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